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Fixtures

AZ Alkmaar fixtures 2026/2027

AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie 2026/2027 →

What AZ Alkmaar have left to play in Eredivisie 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.

Fixture outlook

27 matches ahead in Eredivisie

Run difficulty 2.3 of 5 Favourable
Projected xG / match 1.81
Projected xGA / match 1.29
Projected xPts 46.2 / 81

Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.

What the fixtures say

The run of 27 matches ahead of AZ Alkmaar in Eredivisie rates 2.3 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Favourable. 17 of them rate easier than balanced, and 1 of them rates harder than balanced. The model expects 1.81 projected xG a match from them and 46.2 of the 81 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Feyenoord away, banded 4 of 5 — Difficult, against an attack rated 75/99 and a defence rated 81/99. Worth reading those figures against: the fit behind at least one of these fixtures is drawn from a thin sample of played matches.

The run at a glance

One cell per fixture in the run, soonest first, with its difficulty band under the opponent: 1 is the most favourable and 5 the least. An empty slot is a fixture with no band, and the cell says why.

The first 10 of the 27 matches in this run. The list below carries every one of them.

Kindest fixture

Fortuna Sittard home Sat 20/02

1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 28/99, defence 26/99

Projected xG 2.37 – 0.91 AZ Alkmaar win 70%

Toughest fixture

Feyenoord away Sat 10/10

4 Difficult Opponent: attack 75/99, defence 81/99

Projected xG 1.20 – 1.72 AZ Alkmaar win 24%

  • Open the match page for Feyenoord

    Sat 10/10 Away Feyenoord Eredivisie

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 75/99, defence 81/99
    Projected xG 1.20 – 1.72 Projected xPts 1.00
  • Open the match page for SC Cambuur

    Sun 18/10 Away SC Cambuur Eredivisie

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 41/99, defence 37/99
    Projected xG 1.86 – 1.25 Projected xPts 1.78
  • Open the match page for FC Twente

    Sun 25/10 Home FC Twente Eredivisie

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 69/99, defence 79/99
    Projected xG 1.46 – 1.39 Projected xPts 1.41
  • Open the match page for AFC Ajax

    Sat 31/10 Away AFC Ajax Eredivisie

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 77/99, defence 62/99
    Projected xG 1.52 – 1.76 Projected xPts 1.21
  • Open the match page for FC Groningen

    Sun 08/11 Home FC Groningen Eredivisie

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 48/99, defence 49/99
    Projected xG 1.98 – 1.14 Projected xPts 1.94
  • Open the match page for Sparta Rotterdam

    Sun 22/11 Away Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 44/99, defence 31/99
    Projected xG 1.95 – 1.28 Projected xPts 1.82
  • Open the match page for PEC Zwolle

    Sun 29/11 Away PEC Zwolle Eredivisie

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 29/99, defence 35/99
    Projected xG 1.90 – 1.08 Projected xPts 1.93
  • Open the match page for PSV Eindhoven

    Sat 05/12 Home PSV Eindhoven Eredivisie

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 82/99, defence 70/99
    Projected xG 1.64 – 1.58 Projected xPts 1.41
  • Open the match page for NEC Nijmegen

    Sun 13/12 Home NEC Nijmegen Eredivisie

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 56/99, defence 54/99
    Projected xG 1.92 – 1.23 Projected xPts 1.84
  • Open the match page for Excelsior

    Sat 19/12 Away Excelsior Eredivisie

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 35/99, defence 56/99
    Projected xG 1.61 – 1.17 Projected xPts 1.67
  • Open the match page for SC Heerenveen

    Sat 09/01 Home SC Heerenveen Eredivisie

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 46/99, defence 42/99
    Projected xG 2.10 – 1.12 Projected xPts 2.02
  • Open the match page for Go Ahead Eagles

    Sun 17/01 Away Go Ahead Eagles Eredivisie

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 53/99, defence 36/99
    Projected xG 1.88 – 1.40 Projected xPts 1.69
  • Open the match page for FC Utrecht

    Sun 24/01 Home FC Utrecht Eredivisie

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 52/99, defence 44/99
    Projected xG 2.06 – 1.19 Projected xPts 1.95
  • Open the match page for Feyenoord

    Sun 31/01 Home Feyenoord Eredivisie

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 75/99, defence 81/99
    Projected xG 1.41 – 1.47 Projected xPts 1.31
  • Open the match page for FC Groningen

    Sat 13/02 Away FC Groningen Eredivisie

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 48/99, defence 49/99
    Projected xG 1.70 – 1.34 Projected xPts 1.61
  • Open the match page for Fortuna Sittard

    Sat 20/02 Home Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie

    1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 28/99, defence 26/99
    Projected xG 2.37 – 0.91 Projected xPts 2.31
  • Open the match page for NEC Nijmegen

    Sat 27/02 Away NEC Nijmegen Eredivisie

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 56/99, defence 54/99
    Projected xG 1.64 – 1.43 Projected xPts 1.50
  • Open the match page for FC Twente

    Sat 06/03 Away FC Twente Eredivisie

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 69/99, defence 79/99
    Projected xG 1.25 – 1.62 Projected xPts 1.09
  • Open the match page for Sparta Rotterdam

    Sat 13/03 Home Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 44/99, defence 31/99
    Projected xG 2.28 – 1.10 Projected xPts 2.14
  • Open the match page for Excelsior

    Sat 20/03 Home Excelsior Eredivisie

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 35/99, defence 56/99
    Projected xG 1.88 – 1.00 Projected xPts 1.98
  • Open the match page for PSV Eindhoven

    Sat 03/04 Away PSV Eindhoven Eredivisie

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 82/99, defence 70/99
    Projected xG 1.40 – 1.84 Projected xPts 1.07
  • Open the match page for Willem II Tilburg

    Sat 10/04 Away Willem II Tilburg Eredivisie

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 36/99, defence 26/99
    Projected xG 2.05 – 1.18 Projected xPts 1.95
  • Open the match page for SC Cambuur

    Sat 24/04 Home SC Cambuur Eredivisie

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 41/99, defence 37/99
    Projected xG 2.18 – 1.07 Projected xPts 2.10
  • Open the match page for SC Telstar

    Sat 01/05 Away SC Telstar Eredivisie

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 26/99, defence 41/99
    Projected xG 1.82 – 1.03 Projected xPts 1.92
  • Open the match page for AFC Ajax

    Sat 08/05 Home AFC Ajax Eredivisie

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 77/99, defence 62/99
    Projected xG 1.78 – 1.50 Projected xPts 1.55
  • Open the match page for PEC Zwolle

    Sun 16/05 Home PEC Zwolle Eredivisie

    1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 29/99, defence 35/99
    Projected xG 2.22 – 0.92 Projected xPts 2.23
  • Open the match page for ADO Den Haag

    Sun 23/05 Away ADO Den Haag Eredivisie

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 33/99, defence 49/99
    Projected xG 1.71 – 1.13 Projected xPts 1.77

The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Eredivisie.

Fixture difficulty in Eredivisie

Reads each matchup for AZ Alkmaar: the band is cut from the model's chances of AZ Alkmaar winning and losing the match, so AZ Alkmaar's own strength and home advantage are in it.

2.3 AZ Alkmaar's run 3.0 the competition's average

Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.

Upcoming opponent strength

number 1 hardest of 18 in Eredivisie

+0.37 xG vs league average

Over 5 upcoming league fixtures

Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Eredivisie's average club, with no venue and nothing of AZ Alkmaar's own strength in it.

Opponents behind the figure

Upcoming

+0.37 xG vs league average · over 5 fixtures · number 1 hardest of 18

  1. Feyenoord Away +0.87
  2. SC Cambuur Away −0.29
  3. FC Twente Home +0.71
  4. AFC Ajax Away +0.62
  5. FC Groningen Home −0.04

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

About these numbers

What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's

Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.

Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Eredivisie and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.

Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.

The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.

Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.

xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.

The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.

How the model and every figure here are made →

How the model works →

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