What FC Groningen have left to play in Eredivisie 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
27 matches ahead in Eredivisie
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 27 matches ahead of FC Groningen in Eredivisie rates 3.0 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Balanced. 5 of them rate easier than balanced, and 6 of them rate harder than balanced. The model expects 1.57 projected xG a match from them and 36.1 of the 81 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Feyenoord away, banded 4 of 5 — Difficult, against an attack rated 75/99 and a defence rated 81/99. Worth reading those figures against: the fit behind at least one of these fixtures is drawn from a thin sample of played matches.
The run at a glance
Willem II Tilburg home Fri 27/11 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
Projected xG 2.06 – 1.29 FC Groningen win 55%
Feyenoord away Sun 23/05 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
Projected xG 1.04 – 2.19 FC Groningen win 14%
-
Open the match page for Excelsior
Sun 11/10 Away Excelsior Eredivisie
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 35/99, defence 56/99Projected xG 1.38 – 1.49 Projected xPts 1.28- Excelsior
- 38%
- Draw
- 29%
- FC Groningen
- 33%
-
Open the match page for AFC Ajax
Sun 18/10 Home AFC Ajax Eredivisie
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 77/99, defence 62/99Projected xG 1.53 – 1.92 Projected xPts 1.12- FC Groningen
- 29%
- Draw
- 26%
- AFC Ajax
- 46%
-
Open the match page for NEC Nijmegen
Sun 25/10 Away NEC Nijmegen Eredivisie
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 56/99, defence 54/99Projected xG 1.41 – 1.83 Projected xPts 1.08- NEC Nijmegen
- 46%
- Draw
- 27%
- FC Groningen
- 27%
-
Open the match page for Sparta Rotterdam
Sun 01/11 Home Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 44/99, defence 31/99Projected xG 1.97 – 1.40 Projected xPts 1.74- FC Groningen
- 50%
- Draw
- 25%
- Sparta Rotterdam
- 25%
-
Open the match page for AZ Alkmaar
Sun 08/11 Away AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 64/99, defence 75/99Projected xG 1.14 – 1.98 Projected xPts 0.81- AZ Alkmaar
- 56%
- Draw
- 25%
- FC Groningen
- 19%
-
Open the match page for SC Heerenveen
Sat 21/11 Home SC Heerenveen Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 46/99, defence 42/99Projected xG 1.81 – 1.43 Projected xPts 1.63- FC Groningen
- 45%
- Draw
- 27%
- SC Heerenveen
- 28%
-
Open the match page for Willem II Tilburg
Fri 27/11 Home Willem II Tilburg Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 36/99, defence 26/99Projected xG 2.06 – 1.29 Projected xPts 1.88- FC Groningen
- 55%
- Draw
- 24%
- Willem II Tilburg
- 21%
-
Open the match page for SC Telstar
Fri 04/12 Away SC Telstar Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 26/99, defence 41/99Projected xG 1.56 – 1.32 Projected xPts 1.53- SC Telstar
- 30%
- Draw
- 29%
- FC Groningen
- 41%
-
Open the match page for Feyenoord
Sun 13/12 Home Feyenoord Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 75/99, defence 81/99Projected xG 1.21 – 1.87 Projected xPts 0.91- FC Groningen
- 22%
- Draw
- 26%
- Feyenoord
- 52%
-
Open the match page for SC Cambuur
Sun 20/12 Away SC Cambuur Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 41/99, defence 37/99Projected xG 1.60 – 1.60 Projected xPts 1.37- SC Cambuur
- 36%
- Draw
- 27%
- FC Groningen
- 36%
-
Open the match page for Go Ahead Eagles
Sun 10/01 Home Go Ahead Eagles Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 53/99, defence 36/99Projected xG 1.89 – 1.53 Projected xPts 1.61- FC Groningen
- 45%
- Draw
- 26%
- Go Ahead Eagles
- 29%
-
Open the match page for AFC Ajax
Sun 17/01 Away AFC Ajax Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 77/99, defence 62/99Projected xG 1.31 – 2.24 Projected xPts 0.80- AFC Ajax
- 58%
- Draw
- 23%
- FC Groningen
- 19%
-
Open the match page for Sparta Rotterdam
Sun 24/01 Away Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 44/99, defence 31/99Projected xG 1.68 – 1.64 Projected xPts 1.39- Sparta Rotterdam
- 36%
- Draw
- 27%
- FC Groningen
- 38%
-
Open the match page for NEC Nijmegen
Sun 31/01 Home NEC Nijmegen Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 56/99, defence 54/99Projected xG 1.65 – 1.57 Projected xPts 1.42- FC Groningen
- 38%
- Draw
- 27%
- NEC Nijmegen
- 34%
-
Open the match page for AZ Alkmaar
Sat 13/02 Home AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 64/99, defence 75/99Projected xG 1.34 – 1.70 Projected xPts 1.11- FC Groningen
- 28%
- Draw
- 28%
- AZ Alkmaar
- 44%
-
Open the match page for PEC Zwolle
Sat 20/02 Away PEC Zwolle Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 29/99, defence 35/99Projected xG 1.64 – 1.38 Projected xPts 1.54- PEC Zwolle
- 30%
- Draw
- 28%
- FC Groningen
- 42%
-
Open the match page for Willem II Tilburg
Sat 27/02 Away Willem II Tilburg Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 36/99, defence 26/99Projected xG 1.76 – 1.51 Projected xPts 1.54- Willem II Tilburg
- 31%
- Draw
- 27%
- FC Groningen
- 42%
-
Open the match page for SC Telstar
Sat 06/03 Home SC Telstar Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 26/99, defence 41/99Projected xG 1.83 – 1.13 Projected xPts 1.86- FC Groningen
- 53%
- Draw
- 27%
- SC Telstar
- 20%
-
Open the match page for FC Utrecht
Sat 13/03 Away FC Utrecht Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 52/99, defence 44/99Projected xG 1.52 – 1.78 Projected xPts 1.20- FC Utrecht
- 42%
- Draw
- 27%
- FC Groningen
- 31%
-
Open the match page for PSV Eindhoven
Sat 20/03 Home PSV Eindhoven Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 82/99, defence 70/99Projected xG 1.41 – 2.01 Projected xPts 0.98- FC Groningen
- 24%
- Draw
- 25%
- PSV Eindhoven
- 51%
-
Open the match page for SC Heerenveen
Sat 03/04 Away SC Heerenveen Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 46/99, defence 42/99Projected xG 1.55 – 1.67 Projected xPts 1.28- SC Heerenveen
- 39%
- Draw
- 27%
- FC Groningen
- 34%
-
Open the match page for Excelsior
Sat 10/04 Home Excelsior Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 35/99, defence 56/99Projected xG 1.62 – 1.27 Projected xPts 1.60- FC Groningen
- 44%
- Draw
- 29%
- Excelsior
- 28%
-
Open the match page for Fortuna Sittard
Sat 24/04 Away Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 28/99, defence 26/99Projected xG 1.75 – 1.36 Projected xPts 1.63- Fortuna Sittard
- 27%
- Draw
- 27%
- FC Groningen
- 45%
-
Open the match page for ADO Den Haag
Sat 01/05 Home ADO Den Haag Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 33/99, defence 49/99Projected xG 1.72 – 1.23 Projected xPts 1.70- FC Groningen
- 47%
- Draw
- 28%
- ADO Den Haag
- 25%
-
Open the match page for FC Twente
Sat 08/05 Away FC Twente Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 69/99, defence 79/99Projected xG 1.08 – 2.07 Projected xPts 0.73- FC Twente
- 60%
- Draw
- 24%
- FC Groningen
- 16%
-
Open the match page for SC Cambuur
Sun 16/05 Home SC Cambuur Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 41/99, defence 37/99Projected xG 1.88 – 1.37 Projected xPts 1.71- FC Groningen
- 48%
- Draw
- 26%
- SC Cambuur
- 26%
-
Open the match page for Feyenoord
Sun 23/05 Away Feyenoord Eredivisie Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 75/99, defence 81/99Projected xG 1.04 – 2.19 Projected xPts 0.65- Feyenoord
- 64%
- Draw
- 22%
- FC Groningen
- 14%
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Eredivisie.
Fixture difficulty in Eredivisie
Reads each matchup for FC Groningen: the band is cut from the model's chances of FC Groningen winning and losing the match, so FC Groningen's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Upcoming opponent strength
number 5 hardest of 18 in Eredivisie
+0.16 xG vs league average
Over 5 upcoming league fixtures
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Eredivisie's average club, with no venue and nothing of FC Groningen's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Upcoming
+0.16 xG vs league average · over 5 fixtures · number 5 hardest of 18
- Excelsior Away −0.16
- AFC Ajax Home +0.62
- NEC Nijmegen Away +0.13
- Sparta Rotterdam Home −0.34
- AZ Alkmaar Away +0.56
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Eredivisie and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.