xgEdge

Expected goals

FC Groningen expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Eredivisie · after 7 matches · updated 4 Oct

FC Groningen's attacking and defensive expected goals in Eredivisie 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FC Groningen xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.54 xG per match
#9/18
Attack (xG per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 PSV Eindhoven 2.87
#2 Feyenoord 2.76
#3 AFC Ajax 2.65
#4 AZ Alkmaar 2.55
#5 FC Twente 2.28
#6 Go Ahead Eagles 1.91
#7 Sparta Rotterdam 1.64
#8 NEC Nijmegen 1.60
#9 FC Groningen 1.54
#10 FC Utrecht 1.41
#11 SC Cambuur 1.35
#12 Excelsior 1.35
#13 Willem II Tilburg 1.29
#14 SC Heerenveen 1.26
#15 SC Telstar 1.09
#16 Fortuna Sittard 0.97
#17 PEC Zwolle 0.94
#18 ADO Den Haag 0.90
League avg
1.69
Total
10.79 7 matches
Defence
1.93 xGA per match
#11/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Twente 0.75
#2 Feyenoord 0.80
#3 AZ Alkmaar 0.95
#4 AFC Ajax 1.25
#5 SC Heerenveen 1.36
#6 PSV Eindhoven 1.37
#7 Excelsior 1.44
#8 Go Ahead Eagles 1.63
#9 ADO Den Haag 1.90
#10 NEC Nijmegen 1.92
#11 FC Groningen 1.93
#12 SC Cambuur 2.04
#13 SC Telstar 2.05
#14 PEC Zwolle 2.06
#15 Sparta Rotterdam 2.10
#16 FC Utrecht 2.11
#17 Willem II Tilburg 2.28
#18 Fortuna Sittard 2.42
League avg
1.69
Total
13.53 7 matches
xG difference
-0.39 xGD per match
#10/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Feyenoord +1.96
#2 AZ Alkmaar +1.60
#3 FC Twente +1.53
#4 PSV Eindhoven +1.51
#5 AFC Ajax +1.40
#6 Go Ahead Eagles +0.28
#7 Excelsior -0.09
#8 SC Heerenveen -0.10
#9 NEC Nijmegen -0.32
#10 FC Groningen -0.39
#11 Sparta Rotterdam -0.46
#12 SC Cambuur -0.68
#13 FC Utrecht -0.70
#14 SC Telstar -0.96
#15 Willem II Tilburg -0.99
#16 ADO Den Haag -1.00
#17 PEC Zwolle -1.12
#18 Fortuna Sittard -1.46
League avg
0.00
Total
-2.74 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.28 xPts per match
#8/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Feyenoord 2.49
#2 FC Twente 2.43
#3 AZ Alkmaar 2.30
#4 AFC Ajax 2.20
#5 PSV Eindhoven 2.18
#6 Go Ahead Eagles 1.59
#7 Excelsior 1.31
#8 FC Groningen 1.28
#9 SC Heerenveen 1.28
#10 NEC Nijmegen 1.18
#11 Sparta Rotterdam 1.15
#12 FC Utrecht 1.14
#13 SC Cambuur 0.91
#14 ADO Den Haag 0.85
#15 SC Telstar 0.79
#16 Willem II Tilburg 0.79
#17 PEC Zwolle 0.73
#18 Fortuna Sittard 0.72
League avg
1.41
Total
8.99 vs 11 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

FC Groningen's underlying numbers sit close to the Eredivisie average. They rank #10 for xG difference at -0.39 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 15 goals are 4.21 above 10.79 xG, while 11 points are 2.01 above 8.99 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
15 10.79 +4.21 scored 4.21 more than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
13 13.53 -0.53 conceded 0.53 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
11 8.99 +2.01 2.01 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FC Groningen are 4.21 goals above their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
15
xG
10.79
Gap
+4.21
Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 23/08 Fri 28/08 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Fri 18/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +0.45 +1.25 +1.16 +1.24 +1.76 +2.60 +4.21 +0.45 +0.80 -0.09 +0.08 +0.52 +0.84 +1.61 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FC Groningen: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 FC Utrecht 2 1.55 +0.45 +0.45
Sun 16/08 ADO Den Haag 4 3.20 +0.80 +1.25
Sun 23/08 PSV Eindhoven 1 1.09 -0.09 +1.16
Fri 28/08 Fortuna Sittard 2 1.92 +0.08 +1.24
Sun 06/09 FC Twente 2 1.48 +0.52 +1.76
Sat 12/09 Go Ahead Eagles 1 0.16 +0.84 +2.60
Fri 18/09 PEC Zwolle 3 1.39 +1.61 +4.21

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

FC Groningen xG trend

Current form -0.33 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 7 matches. The worst was against PSV Eindhoven on Sun 23/08 (-2.79).

npxG · last 6
1.48
npxGA · last 6
1.81
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 -0.72 Sun 09/08 +2.19 Sun 16/08 -2.79 Sun 23/08 +0.69 Fri 28/08 -0.88 Sun 06/09 -2.18 Sat 12/09 +0.96 Fri 18/09 -0.39 season avg
FC Groningen: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 09/08 FC Utrecht 1.55 2.27 -0.72 -0.72
Sun 16/08 ADO Den Haag 3.20 1.01 +2.19 +0.73
Sun 23/08 PSV Eindhoven 1.09 3.88 -2.79 -0.44
Fri 28/08 Fortuna Sittard 1.57 0.88 +0.69 -0.16
Sun 06/09 FC Twente 1.44 2.32 -0.88 -0.30
Sat 12/09 Go Ahead Eagles 0.16 2.34 -2.18 -0.62
Fri 18/09 PEC Zwolle 1.39 0.43 +0.96 -0.39

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.49 npxG and 1.88 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 13 hardest of 18 in Eredivisie
−0.02 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
tied number 9 hardest of 18 in Eredivisie
+0.04 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.02 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 13 hardest of 18

  1. PEC Zwolle Home −0.54
  2. Go Ahead Eagles Away −0.13
  3. FC Twente Home +0.71
  4. Fortuna Sittard Home −0.68
  5. PSV Eindhoven Away +0.84
  6. ADO Den Haag Away −0.29
  7. FC Utrecht Home −0.04

Last 5

+0.04 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 9 hardest of 18

  1. PEC Zwolle Home −0.54
  2. Go Ahead Eagles Away −0.13
  3. FC Twente Home +0.71
  4. Fortuna Sittard Home −0.68
  5. PSV Eindhoven Away +0.84

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FC Groningen shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. FC Groningen take 15.0 shots a match (league 15.0) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #9 in Eredivisie for volume and #13 for quality. 68% of their shots come from inside the box (league 66%), and set pieces produce 11% of their npxG (league 18%).

Attack

Shot volume
15.0 shots per match
#9/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 AFC Ajax 24.7
#2 Feyenoord 22.3
#3 FC Twente 21.6
#4 PSV Eindhoven 21.0
#5 AZ Alkmaar 19.4
#6 SC Heerenveen 16.0
=7 Go Ahead Eagles 15.1
=7 NEC Nijmegen 15.1
#9 FC Groningen 15.0
#10 Sparta Rotterdam 13.1
=11 ADO Den Haag 11.9
=11 SC Cambuur 11.9
=11 Willem II Tilburg 11.9
#14 Excelsior 11.3
#15 FC Utrecht 10.9
#16 PEC Zwolle 10.6
#17 Fortuna Sittard 10.1
#18 SC Telstar 7.9
League avg
15.0
Total
105 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#13/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 AZ Alkmaar 0.13
#2 Go Ahead Eagles 0.13
#3 PSV Eindhoven 0.13
#4 Sparta Rotterdam 0.12
#5 Excelsior 0.12
#6 FC Utrecht 0.12
#7 Feyenoord 0.12
#8 SC Cambuur 0.11
#9 Willem II Tilburg 0.11
#10 AFC Ajax 0.11
#11 SC Telstar 0.10
#12 NEC Nijmegen 0.10
#13 FC Groningen 0.10
#14 FC Twente 0.09
#15 Fortuna Sittard 0.09
#16 PEC Zwolle 0.09
#17 SC Heerenveen 0.08
#18 ADO Den Haag 0.08
League avg
0.11
Total
10.40 npxG from 105 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
15.1 shots per match
#7/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 AZ Alkmaar 8.1
=2 AFC Ajax 9.6
=2 Feyenoord 9.6
#4 FC Twente 10.0
#5 PSV Eindhoven 10.1
#6 NEC Nijmegen 11.6
#7 FC Groningen 15.1
=8 SC Cambuur 15.9
=8 SC Heerenveen 15.9
=10 ADO Den Haag 16.1
=10 Excelsior 16.1
#12 Go Ahead Eagles 16.6
#13 SC Telstar 17.9
#14 Sparta Rotterdam 18.0
#15 FC Utrecht 18.6
#16 Willem II Tilburg 19.9
#17 Fortuna Sittard 20.3
#18 PEC Zwolle 20.4
League avg
15.0
Total
106 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.12 npxGA per shot
#15/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Twente 0.06
#2 Feyenoord 0.08
#3 Excelsior 0.09
#4 SC Heerenveen 0.09
#5 Go Ahead Eagles 0.09
#6 PEC Zwolle 0.10
#7 FC Utrecht 0.10
#8 SC Telstar 0.11
#9 ADO Den Haag 0.11
#10 SC Cambuur 0.11
#11 Willem II Tilburg 0.11
#12 Fortuna Sittard 0.12
#13 Sparta Rotterdam 0.12
#14 AZ Alkmaar 0.12
#15 FC Groningen 0.12
#16 AFC Ajax 0.13
#17 PSV Eindhoven 0.13
#18 NEC Nijmegen 0.17
League avg
0.11
Total
13.13 npxGA from 106 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

68% inside the box

League avg 66%

From 71 of 105 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

72% allowed inside the box

League avg 66%

From 76 of 106 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

89% open play · 11% set pieces

League avg 18% set pieces

From 1.1 of 10.3 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

87% open play · 13% set pieces

League avg 18% set pieces

From 1.7 of 13.1 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

FC Groningen home and away xG

FC Groningen per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 1.59 1.48
xGA / match 1.47 2.55
xGD / match +0.12 -1.07
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.53 0.95

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FC Groningen match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
1.54
xGA / match
1.93
xGD / match
-0.39
Points
11 of 21
  1. Fri 18/09 PEC Zwolle H xG 1.39 xGA 0.43 xGD +0.96
  2. Sat 12/09 Go Ahead Eagles A xG 0.16 xGA 2.23 xGD -2.07
  3. Sun 06/09 FC Twente H xG 1.48 xGA 2.30 xGD -0.82
  4. Fri 28/08 Fortuna Sittard H Against the chances xG 1.92 xGA 0.87 xGD +1.05
  5. Sun 23/08 PSV Eindhoven A Weakest underlying xG 1.09 xGA 4.42 P xGD -3.33
  6. Sun 16/08 ADO Den Haag A Best underlying xG 3.20 xGA 1.01 xGD +2.19
  7. Sun 09/08 FC Utrecht H xG 1.55 xGA 2.27 xGD -0.72

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.42. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FC Groningen in Eredivisie

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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