FC Groningen 2:1 FC Utrecht: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Sunday, 09/08/2026 at 14:30

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

FC Groningen Home 1.55 xG · 16 shots

FC Utrecht Away 2.27 xG · 14 shots

21 The result went against the chances

Goals

8' Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson FC Groningen · 0.51 xG chance 1–0
48' Thom van Bergen FC Groningen · 0.09 xG chance 2–0
80' Adrian Blake FC Utrecht · 0.39 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

FC Groningen FC Utrecht

Shots: 16; 14
On target: 5; 7
Inside the box: 10; 12
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.17
Open play xG: 1.46; 2.11
Set-piece xG: 0.10; 0.22
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.55 for FC Groningen and 2.27 for FC Utrecht.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 3.89 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

FC Groningen
FC Utrecht
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC Groningen

1.20 xG created 1.43 xGA

D 1.72 created, 0.82 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
L 1.46 created, 1.64 conceded against Feyenoord
L 1.14 created, 2.58 conceded against Excelsior
W 1.56 created, 1.08 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
W 1.17 created, 0.64 conceded against Heracles Almelo
L 0.16 created, 1.83 conceded against AFC Ajax

FC Utrecht

1.74 xG created 1.38 xGA

W 1.57 created, 1.32 conceded against SC Telstar
L 0.84 created, 3.31 conceded against Excelsior
W 2.90 created, 0.45 conceded against NAC Breda
W 2.09 created, 0.48 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
W 2.08 created, 1.26 conceded against SC Heerenveen
D 0.96 created, 1.47 conceded against AFC Ajax

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC Groningen: 1 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.