xgEdge

Every Eredivisie match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Friday, 09/10/2026

1 match
  • PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 2.49 – 1.18
    Clear favourite
    →

Saturday, 10/10/2026

4 matches
  • Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.06 – 1.55
    →
  • Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.72 – 1.20
    →
  • Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.00 – 2.12
    Clear favourite
    →
  • AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 2.17 – 1.40
    →

Sunday, 11/10/2026

4 matches
  • FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.14 – 1.34
    Clear favourite
    →
  • PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.51 – 1.53
    Tight
    →
  • SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.32 – 1.32
    Tight
    →
  • Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.49 – 1.38
    →

Friday, 16/10/2026

1 match
  • SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.58 – 1.35
    →

Saturday, 17/10/2026

3 matches
  • ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.19 – 2.02
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 0.93 – 2.01
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.98 – 1.48
    →

Sunday, 18/10/2026

5 matches
  • PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.53 – 1.72
    →
  • SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.25 – 1.86
    →
  • FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.53 – 1.92
    →
  • FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 2.15 – 1.12
    Clear favourite
    →
  • NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.19 – 1.12
    Clear favourite
    →

Friday, 23/10/2026

1 match
  • Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.92 – 1.25
    →

Saturday, 24/10/2026

3 matches
  • FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.99 – 1.23
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.65 – 1.65
    Tight
    →
  • ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.53 – 1.44
    →

Sunday, 25/10/2026

5 matches
  • Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.28 – 1.52
    →
  • NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.83 – 1.41
    →
  • PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.67 – 1.55
    →
  • Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.47 – 2.21
    →
  • AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.46 – 1.39
    Tight
    →

Saturday, 31/10/2026

5 matches
  • Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.62 – 0.82
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.62 – 1.66
    Tight
    →
  • PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.84 – 1.06
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.77 – 1.68
    →
  • AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.76 – 1.52
    →

Sunday, 01/11/2026

4 matches
  • PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.39 – 1.38
    Tight
    →
  • SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.37 – 1.63
    →
  • Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.10 – 1.68
    →
  • FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.97 – 1.40
    →

Friday, 06/11/2026

1 match
  • Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.69 – 1.42
    →

Saturday, 07/11/2026

3 matches
  • Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.45 – 1.35
    →
  • ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.66 – 1.41
    →
  • Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.65 – 1.45
    →

Sunday, 08/11/2026

5 matches
  • SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.18 – 1.98
    Clear favourite
    →
  • FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.85 – 1.41
    →
  • AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.98 – 1.14
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.32 – 2.21
    Clear favourite
    →
  • FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.72 – 1.63
    Tight
    →

Saturday, 21/11/2026

5 matches
  • NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.51 – 1.95
    →
  • Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 2.07 – 0.90
    Clear favourite
    →
  • FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.95 – 1.42
    →
  • SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.48 – 1.26
    →
  • FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.81 – 1.43
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.