xgEdge

Every Eredivisie match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Sunday, 22/11/2026

4 matches
  • FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.50 – 0.95
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.28 – 1.95
    →
  • AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 2.26 – 1.10
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.15 – 1.28
    Clear favourite
    →

Friday, 27/11/2026

1 match
  • FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.06 – 1.29
    Clear favourite
    →

Saturday, 28/11/2026

3 matches
  • Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.59 – 1.07
    →
  • PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 2.60 – 1.27
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.84 – 1.54
    →

Sunday, 29/11/2026

5 matches
  • ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.50 – 1.53
    Tight
    →
  • Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.44 – 1.71
    →
  • Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.96 – 1.36
    →
  • PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.08 – 1.90
    Clear favourite
    →
  • NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.35 – 1.71
    →

Friday, 04/12/2026

1 match
  • SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.32 – 1.56
    →

Saturday, 05/12/2026

4 matches
  • Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.07 – 2.26
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.59 – 1.80
    →
  • AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.64 – 1.58
    Tight
    →
  • Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.52 – 1.41
    →

Sunday, 06/12/2026

4 matches
  • SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.83 – 1.45
    →
  • AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 2.33 – 1.36
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.32 – 1.96
    →
  • ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.37 – 1.28
    →

Saturday, 12/12/2026

3 matches
  • FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.13 – 1.21
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.85 – 1.63
    →
  • PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.30 – 1.43
    →

Sunday, 13/12/2026

5 matches
  • PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 2.52 – 0.93
    Clear favourite
    →
  • FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.21 – 1.87
    →
  • Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.52 – 1.49
    Tight
    →
  • AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.92 – 1.23
    →
  • AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 2.46 – 1.22
    Clear favourite
    →

Friday, 18/12/2026

1 match
  • SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.59 – 1.38
    →

Saturday, 19/12/2026

3 matches
  • Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.17 – 1.61
    →
  • Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.56 – 1.68
    →
  • FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.88 – 1.49
    →

Sunday, 20/12/2026

5 matches
  • NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.84 – 1.19
    →
  • SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.60 – 1.60
    Tight
    →
  • Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.62 – 1.25
    →
  • Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.61 – 2.12
    →
  • PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.64 – 0.97
    Clear favourite
    →

Friday, 08/01/2027

1 match
  • FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.48 – 0.86
    Clear favourite
    →

Saturday, 09/01/2027

4 matches
  • Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.55 – 1.46
    →
  • PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.43 – 1.70
    →
  • Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.35 – 2.32
    Clear favourite
    →
  • AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 2.10 – 1.12
    Clear favourite
    →

Sunday, 10/01/2027

4 matches
  • NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 2.01 – 1.32
    →
  • Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.81 – 1.43
    →
  • ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.54 – 1.13
    →
  • FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.89 – 1.53
    →

Friday, 15/01/2027

1 match
  • SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.92 – 1.48
    →

Saturday, 16/01/2027

1 match
  • SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.27 – 1.68
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.