PSV Eindhoven 2:2 AFC Ajax: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Sunday, 21/09/2025 at 14:30

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven Home 3.10 xG

AFC Ajax Away 2.18 xG

22 PSV Eindhoven had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

PSV Eindhoven AFC Ajax

Shots: 16; 14
On target: 8; 6
Inside the box: 8; 11
xG per shot: 0.19; 0.16

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

PSV Eindhoven

1.78 xG created 1.34 xGA

W 1.65 created, 1.13 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
W 1.48 created, 0.91 conceded against FC Twente
W 2.17 created, 1.26 conceded against FC Groningen
L 1.36 created, 1.39 conceded against SC Telstar
W 2.23 created, 2.00 conceded against NEC Nijmegen

AFC Ajax

1.92 xG created 0.68 xGA

W 1.69 created, 1.08 conceded against SC Telstar
D 1.87 created, 0.64 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
W 2.75 created, 0.18 conceded against Heracles Almelo
D 0.91 created, 0.86 conceded against FC Volendam
W 2.37 created, 0.62 conceded against PEC Zwolle

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.