xgEdge

Saturday, 13/12/2025 at 20:00

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Match report · Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven 4:3 Heracles Almelo

PSV Eindhoven Home 3.22 xG
Heracles Almelo Away 2.64 xG
43 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

PSV Eindhoven Heracles Almelo
Shots
21
11
On target
7
6
Inside the box
19
10
xG per shot
0.15
0.24

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
PSV Eindhoven

1.34 xG created 0.75 xGA

  • W 1.16 created, 1.14 conceded against Feyenoord
  • W 2.03 created, 0.73 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
  • W 2.33 created, 0.28 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
  • W 0.56 created, 1.21 conceded against NAC Breda
  • W 1.37 created, 0.47 conceded against FC Volendam
  • W 0.58 created, 0.66 conceded against SC Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo

1.85 xG created 1.33 xGA

  • L 1.16 created, 1.54 conceded against FC Volendam
  • W 3.78 created, 1.20 conceded against PEC Zwolle
  • W 1.01 created, 1.85 conceded against Excelsior
  • W 2.62 created, 0.98 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
  • D 0.57 created, 1.71 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
  • D 1.97 created, 0.71 conceded against SC Telstar

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.