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Saturday, 22/11/2025 at 16:30

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Match report · Eredivisie

NAC Breda 0:1 PSV Eindhoven

NAC Breda Home 1.21 xG
PSV Eindhoven Away 0.56 xG
01 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

NAC Breda PSV Eindhoven
Shots
16
9
On target
3
4
Inside the box
11
8
xG per shot
0.08
0.06

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
NAC Breda

1.24 xG created 1.53 xGA

  • L 1.57 created, 1.87 conceded against AFC Ajax
  • L 0.69 created, 1.60 conceded against FC Groningen
  • D 2.54 created, 1.47 conceded against PEC Zwolle
  • D 1.38 created, 1.81 conceded against SC Heerenveen
  • W 0.59 created, 0.65 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
  • L 0.64 created, 1.76 conceded against FC Volendam
PSV Eindhoven

2.23 xG created 0.81 xGA

  • W 2.51 created, 2.15 conceded against Excelsior
  • W 1.86 created, 0.12 conceded against PEC Zwolle
  • W 3.48 created, 0.42 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
  • W 1.16 created, 1.14 conceded against Feyenoord
  • W 2.03 created, 0.73 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
  • W 2.33 created, 0.28 conceded against AZ Alkmaar

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.