xgEdge

Club

NAC Breda 2025/2026

Eredivisie 2025/2026 →

Position 17th of 24 29 points · 6–11–17
Form · last 5
D W L L D
-0.49 xGD / match
Expected goals 40.49 xG 51.64 xGA 35 scored · 58 conceded
Team strength How Team Strength works 43 / 99 #17 in Eredivisie League avg: 50

NAC Breda right now

NAC Breda are having a difficult season and sit 17th in Eredivisie. A -11.15 xG difference sits behind 29 points from 34 matches, which suggests the results reflect poor underlying performances. They have scored slightly below their 40.49 xG (−5.49), while conceding slightly more than the 51.64 xG against them (+6.36). They have taken 11.10 fewer points than their chances were worth (40.10), so the table undersells them.

How NAC Breda compares

Attack #15 of 18 Defence #11 of 18 xG difference #12 of 18
Chance quality #18 of 18
Open the match page for AZ Alkmaar

Last result Eredivisie · Sun 17/05

Away AZ Alkmaar

3:3 Draw

Expected goals
2.08 – 1.45
xG difference
+0.63
Every result →
Performance

Goals vs xG — match by match

Bars are goals scored. Lines are the xG created and conceded in each match.

xG created xGA conceded Goals
4.5 0.0 Sat 09/08 Sun 17/05 Sat 09/08 Feyenoord · Expected goals 0.28 Sun 17/08 Fortuna Sittard · Expected goals 2.01 Sun 24/08 NEC Nijmegen · Expected goals 0.61 Sun 31/08 AZ Alkmaar · Expected goals 1.96 Sat 13/09 FC Twente · Expected goals 0.74 Sat 20/09 Heracles Almelo · Expected goals 2.28 Sat 27/09 AFC Ajax · Expected goals 1.57 Fri 03/10 FC Groningen · Expected goals 0.69 Sat 18/10 PEC Zwolle · Expected goals 2.54 Fri 24/10 SC Heerenveen · Expected goals 1.38 Sat 01/11 Go Ahead Eagles · Expected goals 0.59 Sat 08/11 FC Volendam · Expected goals 0.64 Sat 22/11 PSV Eindhoven · Expected goals 1.21 Sat 29/11 Excelsior · Expected goals 1.67 Sun 07/12 Sparta Rotterdam · Expected goals 1.42 Sun 14/12 FC Utrecht · Expected goals 1.20 Sat 20/12 SC Telstar · Expected goals 0.73 Sat 10/01 FC Groningen · Expected goals 0.82 Sat 17/01 NEC Nijmegen · Expected goals 0.82 Sat 24/01 PSV Eindhoven · Expected goals 1.50 Fri 30/01 FC Twente · Expected goals 1.26 Fri 06/02 Excelsior · Expected goals 1.08 Sat 14/02 Heracles Almelo · Expected goals 1.26 Sat 21/02 FC Volendam · Expected goals 1.39 Fri 27/02 SC Telstar · Expected goals 0.36 Sun 08/03 Feyenoord · Expected goals 1.03 Sun 15/03 Go Ahead Eagles · Expected goals 1.13 Sat 21/03 PEC Zwolle · Expected goals 1.04 Sun 05/04 Sparta Rotterdam · Expected goals 0.51 Sun 12/04 Fortuna Sittard · Expected goals 0.75 Sat 25/04 AFC Ajax · Expected goals 1.63 Sat 02/05 FC Utrecht · Expected goals 0.45 Mon 11/05 SC Heerenveen · Expected goals 1.86 Sun 17/05 AZ Alkmaar · Expected goals 2.08 Sat 09/08 Feyenoord · Expected goals conceded 2.29 Sun 17/08 Fortuna Sittard · Expected goals conceded 0.72 Sun 24/08 NEC Nijmegen · Expected goals conceded 4.10 Sun 31/08 AZ Alkmaar · Expected goals conceded 2.82 Sat 13/09 FC Twente · Expected goals conceded 2.12 Sat 20/09 Heracles Almelo · Expected goals conceded 0.90 Sat 27/09 AFC Ajax · Expected goals conceded 1.87 Fri 03/10 FC Groningen · Expected goals conceded 1.60 Sat 18/10 PEC Zwolle · Expected goals conceded 1.47 Fri 24/10 SC Heerenveen · Expected goals conceded 1.81 Sat 01/11 Go Ahead Eagles · Expected goals conceded 0.65 Sat 08/11 FC Volendam · Expected goals conceded 1.76 Sat 22/11 PSV Eindhoven · Expected goals conceded 0.56 Sat 29/11 Excelsior · Expected goals conceded 0.95 Sun 07/12 Sparta Rotterdam · Expected goals conceded 2.43 Sun 14/12 FC Utrecht · Expected goals conceded 0.66 Sat 20/12 SC Telstar · Expected goals conceded 1.48 Sat 10/01 FC Groningen · Expected goals conceded 1.30 Sat 17/01 NEC Nijmegen · Expected goals conceded 1.19 Sat 24/01 PSV Eindhoven · Expected goals conceded 1.79 Fri 30/01 FC Twente · Expected goals conceded 1.63 Fri 06/02 Excelsior · Expected goals conceded 0.86 Sat 14/02 Heracles Almelo · Expected goals conceded 1.12 Sat 21/02 FC Volendam · Expected goals conceded 0.52 Fri 27/02 SC Telstar · Expected goals conceded 1.24 Sun 08/03 Feyenoord · Expected goals conceded 1.64 Sun 15/03 Go Ahead Eagles · Expected goals conceded 1.56 Sat 21/03 PEC Zwolle · Expected goals conceded 0.82 Sun 05/04 Sparta Rotterdam · Expected goals conceded 0.55 Sun 12/04 Fortuna Sittard · Expected goals conceded 1.59 Sat 25/04 AFC Ajax · Expected goals conceded 2.29 Sat 02/05 FC Utrecht · Expected goals conceded 2.90 Mon 11/05 SC Heerenveen · Expected goals conceded 1.00 Sun 17/05 AZ Alkmaar · Expected goals conceded 1.45
The season so far 34 matches, as they add up -11.15 xG difference -0.33 xGD / match
Every match behind the chart above: NAC Breda's expected goals for and against, and the goals it scored.
Date Opponent Venue Score Expected goals Expected goals conceded xG difference Goals scored
Sat 09/08 Feyenoord Away 0:2 0.28 2.29 -2.01 0
Sun 17/08 Fortuna Sittard Home 2:1 2.01 0.72 +1.29 2
Sun 24/08 NEC Nijmegen Away 0:3 0.61 4.10 -3.49 0
Sun 31/08 AZ Alkmaar Home 0:1 1.96 2.82 -0.86 0
Sat 13/09 FC Twente Away 2:2 0.74 2.12 -1.38 2
Sat 20/09 Heracles Almelo Home 2:1 2.28 0.90 +1.38 2
Sat 27/09 AFC Ajax Away 1:2 1.57 1.87 -0.30 1
Fri 03/10 FC Groningen Home 1:2 0.69 1.60 -0.91 1
Sat 18/10 PEC Zwolle Home 2:2 2.54 1.47 +1.07 2
Fri 24/10 SC Heerenveen Away 3:3 1.38 1.81 -0.43 3
Sat 01/11 Go Ahead Eagles Home 1:0 0.59 0.65 -0.06 1
Sat 08/11 FC Volendam Away 1:2 0.64 1.76 -1.12 1
Sat 22/11 PSV Eindhoven Home 0:1 1.21 0.56 +0.65 0
Sat 29/11 Excelsior Away 0:1 1.67 0.95 +0.72 0
Sun 07/12 Sparta Rotterdam Away 0:1 1.42 2.43 -1.01 0
Sun 14/12 FC Utrecht Home 1:1 1.20 0.66 +0.54 1
Sat 20/12 SC Telstar Home 0:1 0.73 1.48 -0.75 0
Sat 10/01 FC Groningen Away 0:0 0.82 1.30 -0.48 0
Sat 17/01 NEC Nijmegen Home 3:4 0.82 1.19 -0.37 3
Sat 24/01 PSV Eindhoven Away 2:2 1.50 1.79 -0.29 2
Fri 30/01 FC Twente Home 2:2 1.26 1.63 -0.37 2
Fri 06/02 Excelsior Home 0:2 1.08 0.86 +0.22 0
Sat 14/02 Heracles Almelo Away 1:0 1.26 1.12 +0.14 1
Sat 21/02 FC Volendam Home 1:0 1.39 0.52 +0.87 1
Fri 27/02 SC Telstar Away 0:3 0.36 1.24 -0.88 0
Sun 08/03 Feyenoord Home 3:3 1.03 1.64 -0.61 3
Sun 15/03 Go Ahead Eagles Away 0:6 1.13 1.56 -0.43 0
Sat 21/03 PEC Zwolle Away 1:2 1.04 0.82 +0.22 1
Sun 05/04 Sparta Rotterdam Home 0:0 0.51 0.55 -0.04 0
Sun 12/04 Fortuna Sittard Away 1:1 0.75 1.59 -0.84 1
Sat 25/04 AFC Ajax Home 0:2 1.63 2.29 -0.66 0
Sat 02/05 FC Utrecht Away 0:2 0.45 2.90 -2.45 0
Mon 11/05 SC Heerenveen Home 2:0 1.86 1.00 +0.86 2
Sun 17/05 AZ Alkmaar Away 3:3 2.08 1.45 +0.63 3
The season so far 40.49 51.64 35

Finishing

-5.49

Goals vs xG

Defending

+6.36

Goals conceded vs xGA

Results

-11.10

Points vs xPts

The whole expected-goals page →
Every figure off the same cached projection · Eredivisie 2025/2026 How the model works →

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