xgEdge

Sunday, 17/05/2026 at 14:30

Full time
Match report · Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar 3:3 NAC Breda

AZ Alkmaar Home 1.45 xG
NAC Breda Away 2.08 xG
33 NAC Breda had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

AZ Alkmaar NAC Breda
Shots
16
17
On target
10
11
Inside the box
12
8
xG per shot
0.09
0.12

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
AZ Alkmaar

1.95 xG created 1.08 xGA

  • W 3.28 created, 0.66 conceded against Heracles Almelo
  • L 1.73 created, 2.50 conceded against FC Groningen
  • W 1.92 created, 0.40 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
  • W 1.86 created, 0.64 conceded against SC Heerenveen
  • D 1.52 created, 1.79 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
  • D 1.39 created, 0.46 conceded against FC Twente
NAC Breda

1.04 xG created 1.53 xGA

  • L 1.04 created, 0.82 conceded against PEC Zwolle
  • D 0.51 created, 0.55 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
  • D 0.75 created, 1.59 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
  • L 1.63 created, 2.29 conceded against AFC Ajax
  • L 0.45 created, 2.90 conceded against FC Utrecht
  • W 1.86 created, 1.00 conceded against SC Heerenveen

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

AZ Alkmaar: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.