Fortuna Sittard 1:1 NAC Breda: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Sunday, 12/04/2026 at 12:15

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard Home 1.59 xG

NAC Breda Away 0.75 xG

11 Fortuna Sittard had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

Fortuna Sittard NAC Breda

Shots: 10; 14
On target: 2; 7
Inside the box: 6; 6
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.05

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Fortuna Sittard

1.83 xG created 1.89 xGA

W 1.93 created, 1.23 conceded against Excelsior
W 2.45 created, 1.46 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
L 2.83 created, 2.65 conceded against SC Telstar
W 2.09 created, 2.21 conceded against FC Volendam
L 1.25 created, 1.85 conceded against FC Twente
L 0.40 created, 1.92 conceded against AZ Alkmaar

NAC Breda

0.91 xG created 1.06 xGA

W 1.39 created, 0.52 conceded against FC Volendam
L 0.36 created, 1.24 conceded against SC Telstar
D 1.03 created, 1.64 conceded against Feyenoord
L 1.13 created, 1.56 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
L 1.04 created, 0.82 conceded against PEC Zwolle
D 0.51 created, 0.55 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Fortuna Sittard: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

NAC Breda 2:1 Fortuna Sittard 17/08/2025 xG 2.01 – 0.72

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.