AZ Alkmaar 2:0 Fortuna Sittard: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Saturday, 04/04/2026 at 19:00

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar Home 1.92 xG

Fortuna Sittard Away 0.40 xG

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

AZ Alkmaar Fortuna Sittard

Shots: 15; 9
On target: 6; 4
Inside the box: 10; 5
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.04

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

AZ Alkmaar

1.79 xG created 1.40 xGA

W 2.01 created, 0.75 conceded against Excelsior
W 1.39 created, 0.91 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
L 0.73 created, 1.27 conceded against FC Utrecht
L 1.60 created, 2.33 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
W 3.28 created, 0.66 conceded against Heracles Almelo
L 1.73 created, 2.50 conceded against FC Groningen

Fortuna Sittard

1.90 xG created 1.76 xGA

L 0.84 created, 1.18 conceded against AFC Ajax
W 1.93 created, 1.23 conceded against Excelsior
W 2.45 created, 1.46 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
L 2.83 created, 2.65 conceded against SC Telstar
W 2.09 created, 2.21 conceded against FC Volendam
L 1.25 created, 1.85 conceded against FC Twente

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

AZ Alkmaar: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Fortuna Sittard 4:3 AZ Alkmaar 21/12/2025 xG 1.38 – 3.79

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.