Fortuna Sittard 2:1 Excelsior: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Friday, 20/02/2026 at 20:00

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard Home 1.93 xG

Excelsior Away 1.23 xG

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Fortuna Sittard Excelsior

Shots: 16; 10
On target: 6; 4
Inside the box: 12; 9
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.12

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Fortuna Sittard

0.73 xG created 1.95 xGA

D 0.84 created, 1.72 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
L 0.33 created, 3.03 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
W 0.80 created, 2.42 conceded against FC Groningen
L 0.60 created, 2.01 conceded against Heracles Almelo
D 0.99 created, 1.31 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
L 0.84 created, 1.18 conceded against AFC Ajax

Excelsior

1.00 xG created 1.37 xGA

D 1.48 created, 1.44 conceded against SC Telstar
D 1.12 created, 1.85 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
D 0.99 created, 1.20 conceded against FC Twente
D 0.80 created, 0.63 conceded against AFC Ajax
W 0.86 created, 1.08 conceded against NAC Breda
L 0.75 created, 2.01 conceded against AZ Alkmaar

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Fortuna Sittard: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Excelsior 1:0 Fortuna Sittard 19/10/2025 xG 1.08 – 1.07

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.