xgEdge

Sunday, 19/10/2025 at 14:30

Full time
Match report · Eredivisie

Excelsior 1:0 Fortuna Sittard

Excelsior Home 1.08 xG
Fortuna Sittard Away 1.07 xG
10 The chances were evenly matched

The shots behind it

Excelsior Fortuna Sittard
Shots
11
15
On target
5
6
Inside the box
6
10
xG per shot
0.10
0.07

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Excelsior

1.35 xG created 1.98 xGA

  • L 1.26 created, 1.65 conceded against FC Utrecht
  • W 0.47 created, 2.29 conceded against FC Twente
  • L 1.55 created, 1.65 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
  • W 1.84 created, 1.68 conceded against FC Volendam
  • L 2.15 created, 2.51 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
  • L 0.85 created, 2.12 conceded against SC Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard

0.98 xG created 1.67 xGA

  • W 1.30 created, 1.64 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
  • W 1.14 created, 1.97 conceded against SC Telstar
  • L 0.30 created, 2.13 conceded against Feyenoord
  • W 1.16 created, 0.83 conceded against FC Utrecht
  • L 0.49 created, 2.69 conceded against FC Twente
  • W 1.47 created, 0.77 conceded against FC Volendam

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.