AZ Alkmaar 1:1 Excelsior: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Wednesday, 21/01/2026 at 18:45

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar Home 1.85 xG

Excelsior Away 1.12 xG

11 AZ Alkmaar had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

AZ Alkmaar Excelsior

Shots: 13; 8
On target: 4; 2
Inside the box: 9; 6
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.14

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

AZ Alkmaar

1.87 xG created 1.52 xGA

L 1.03 created, 3.33 conceded against SC Heerenveen
L 1.29 created, 0.89 conceded against FC Twente
D 2.11 created, 1.33 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
L 3.79 created, 1.38 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
W 2.39 created, 0.48 conceded against FC Volendam
L 0.61 created, 1.73 conceded against PEC Zwolle

Excelsior

1.18 xG created 1.97 xGA

W 0.43 created, 1.30 conceded against AFC Ajax
W 0.95 created, 1.67 conceded against NAC Breda
L 1.98 created, 3.92 conceded against FC Groningen
W 1.71 created, 1.18 conceded against PEC Zwolle
L 0.50 created, 2.30 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
D 1.48 created, 1.44 conceded against SC Telstar

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.