xgEdge

Saturday, 29/11/2025 at 16:30

Full time
Match report · Eredivisie

Excelsior 1:0 NAC Breda

Excelsior Home 0.95 xG
NAC Breda Away 1.67 xG
10 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

Excelsior NAC Breda
Shots
5
22
On target
2
3
Inside the box
2
13
xG per shot
0.19
0.08

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Excelsior

1.29 xG created 1.74 xGA

  • L 0.85 created, 2.12 conceded against SC Heerenveen
  • W 1.08 created, 1.07 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
  • L 0.54 created, 1.81 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
  • D 2.97 created, 3.10 conceded against SC Telstar
  • L 1.85 created, 1.01 conceded against Heracles Almelo
  • W 0.43 created, 1.30 conceded against AFC Ajax
NAC Breda

1.18 xG created 1.31 xGA

  • L 0.69 created, 1.60 conceded against FC Groningen
  • D 2.54 created, 1.47 conceded against PEC Zwolle
  • D 1.38 created, 1.81 conceded against SC Heerenveen
  • W 0.59 created, 0.65 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
  • L 0.64 created, 1.76 conceded against FC Volendam
  • L 1.21 created, 0.56 conceded against PSV Eindhoven

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.