xgEdge

Saturday, 22/11/2025 at 18:45

Full time
Match report · Eredivisie

AFC Ajax 1:2 Excelsior

AFC Ajax Home 1.30 xG
Excelsior Away 0.43 xG
12 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

AFC Ajax Excelsior
Shots
15
8
On target
5
4
Inside the box
10
4
xG per shot
0.09
0.05

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
AFC Ajax

1.24 xG created 1.79 xGA

  • W 1.87 created, 1.57 conceded against NAC Breda
  • D 1.67 created, 1.98 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
  • L 1.26 created, 2.23 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
  • W 0.99 created, 2.75 conceded against FC Twente
  • D 1.11 created, 0.91 conceded against SC Heerenveen
  • L 0.55 created, 1.29 conceded against FC Utrecht
Excelsior

1.57 xG created 1.94 xGA

  • L 2.15 created, 2.51 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
  • L 0.85 created, 2.12 conceded against SC Heerenveen
  • W 1.08 created, 1.07 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
  • L 0.54 created, 1.81 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
  • D 2.97 created, 3.10 conceded against SC Telstar
  • L 1.85 created, 1.01 conceded against Heracles Almelo

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.