xgEdge

Sunday, 26/10/2025 at 12:15

Full time
Match report · Eredivisie

FC Twente 2:3 AFC Ajax

FC Twente Home 2.75 xG
AFC Ajax Away 0.99 xG
23 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

FC Twente AFC Ajax
Shots
21
9
On target
5
6
Inside the box
12
7
xG per shot
0.13
0.11

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
FC Twente

2.12 xG created 0.66 xGA

  • L 2.29 created, 0.47 conceded against Excelsior
  • D 2.12 created, 0.74 conceded against NAC Breda
  • W 2.37 created, 1.11 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
  • W 2.69 created, 0.49 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
  • W 1.30 created, 0.60 conceded against Heracles Almelo
  • D 1.94 created, 0.53 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
AFC Ajax

1.71 xG created 1.73 xGA

  • D 0.91 created, 0.86 conceded against FC Volendam
  • W 2.37 created, 0.62 conceded against PEC Zwolle
  • D 2.18 created, 3.10 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
  • W 1.87 created, 1.57 conceded against NAC Breda
  • D 1.67 created, 1.98 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
  • L 1.26 created, 2.23 conceded against AZ Alkmaar

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.