xgEdge

Saturday, 27/09/2025 at 16:30

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Match report · Eredivisie

AFC Ajax 2:1 NAC Breda

AFC Ajax Home 1.87 xG
NAC Breda Away 1.57 xG
21 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

AFC Ajax NAC Breda
Shots
12
17
On target
7
7
Inside the box
10
14
xG per shot
0.16
0.09

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
AFC Ajax

1.96 xG created 1.08 xGA

  • W 1.69 created, 1.08 conceded against SC Telstar
  • D 1.87 created, 0.64 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
  • W 2.75 created, 0.18 conceded against Heracles Almelo
  • D 0.91 created, 0.86 conceded against FC Volendam
  • W 2.37 created, 0.62 conceded against PEC Zwolle
  • D 2.18 created, 3.10 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
NAC Breda

1.31 xG created 2.16 xGA

  • L 0.28 created, 2.29 conceded against Feyenoord
  • W 2.01 created, 0.72 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
  • L 0.61 created, 4.10 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
  • L 1.96 created, 2.82 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
  • D 0.74 created, 2.12 conceded against FC Twente
  • W 2.28 created, 0.90 conceded against Heracles Almelo

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.