xgEdge

Saturday, 20/09/2025 at 21:00

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Match report · Eredivisie

NAC Breda 2:1 Heracles Almelo

NAC Breda Home 2.28 xG
Heracles Almelo Away 0.90 xG
21 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

NAC Breda Heracles Almelo
Shots
17
13
On target
4
5
Inside the box
15
9
xG per shot
0.13
0.07

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
NAC Breda

1.12 xG created 2.41 xGA

  • L 0.28 created, 2.29 conceded against Feyenoord
  • W 2.01 created, 0.72 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
  • L 0.61 created, 4.10 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
  • L 1.96 created, 2.82 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
  • D 0.74 created, 2.12 conceded against FC Twente
Heracles Almelo

0.79 xG created 2.39 xGA

  • L 0.82 created, 1.98 conceded against FC Utrecht
  • L 1.09 created, 3.03 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
  • L 0.18 created, 2.75 conceded against AFC Ajax
  • L 0.48 created, 1.59 conceded against FC Groningen
  • L 1.37 created, 2.59 conceded against AZ Alkmaar

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.