xgEdge

Sunday, 21/12/2025 at 16:45

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Match report · Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard 4:3 AZ Alkmaar

Fortuna Sittard Home 1.38 xG
AZ Alkmaar Away 3.79 xG
43 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

Fortuna Sittard AZ Alkmaar
Shots
15
21
On target
6
9
Inside the box
9
17
xG per shot
0.09
0.18

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Fortuna Sittard

1.38 xG created 1.39 xGA

  • L 0.73 created, 2.03 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
  • W 1.78 created, 1.49 conceded against SC Heerenveen
  • D 1.17 created, 1.65 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
  • D 1.71 created, 0.57 conceded against Heracles Almelo
  • L 2.18 created, 1.01 conceded against AFC Ajax
  • L 0.72 created, 1.58 conceded against PEC Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar

1.79 xG created 1.57 xGA

  • W 3.59 created, 0.99 conceded against FC Utrecht
  • W 2.43 created, 0.52 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
  • L 0.28 created, 2.33 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
  • L 1.03 created, 3.33 conceded against SC Heerenveen
  • L 1.29 created, 0.89 conceded against FC Twente
  • D 2.11 created, 1.33 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.