Fortuna Sittard 1:3 AFC Ajax: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Saturday, 06/12/2025 at 18:45

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard Home 2.18 xG

AFC Ajax Away 1.01 xG

13 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

Fortuna Sittard AFC Ajax

Shots: 25; 13
On target: 7; 4
Inside the box: 14; 7
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.08

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Fortuna Sittard

1.28 xG created 1.43 xGA

L 1.07 created, 1.08 conceded against Excelsior
L 1.20 created, 1.77 conceded against FC Groningen
L 0.73 created, 2.03 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
W 1.78 created, 1.49 conceded against SC Heerenveen
D 1.17 created, 1.65 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
D 1.71 created, 0.57 conceded against Heracles Almelo

AFC Ajax

1.03 xG created 1.56 xGA

L 1.26 created, 2.23 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
W 0.99 created, 2.75 conceded against FC Twente
D 1.11 created, 0.91 conceded against SC Heerenveen
L 0.55 created, 1.29 conceded against FC Utrecht
L 1.30 created, 0.43 conceded against Excelsior
W 0.98 created, 1.76 conceded against FC Groningen

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.