PSV Eindhoven 5:1 Excelsior: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Saturday, 10/01/2026 at 20:00

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven Home 2.30 xG

Excelsior Away 0.50 xG

51 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

PSV Eindhoven Excelsior

Shots: 16; 8
On target: 8; 3
Inside the box: 10; 6
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.06

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

PSV Eindhoven

1.60 xG created 1.11 xGA

W 2.33 created, 0.28 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
W 0.56 created, 1.21 conceded against NAC Breda
W 1.37 created, 0.47 conceded against FC Volendam
W 0.58 created, 0.66 conceded against SC Heerenveen
W 3.22 created, 2.64 conceded against Heracles Almelo
W 1.53 created, 1.37 conceded against FC Utrecht

Excelsior

1.65 xG created 2.03 xGA

D 2.97 created, 3.10 conceded against SC Telstar
L 1.85 created, 1.01 conceded against Heracles Almelo
W 0.43 created, 1.30 conceded against AFC Ajax
W 0.95 created, 1.67 conceded against NAC Breda
L 1.98 created, 3.92 conceded against FC Groningen
W 1.71 created, 1.18 conceded against PEC Zwolle

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

PSV Eindhoven: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Excelsior 1:2 PSV Eindhoven 27/09/2025 xG 2.15 – 2.51

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.