Excelsior 1:2 AZ Alkmaar: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Saturday, 14/02/2026 at 18:45

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

Excelsior Home 0.75 xG

AZ Alkmaar Away 2.01 xG

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Excelsior AZ Alkmaar

Shots: 11; 16
On target: 2; 7
Inside the box: 4; 9
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.13

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Excelsior

0.96 xG created 1.42 xGA

L 0.50 created, 2.30 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
D 1.48 created, 1.44 conceded against SC Telstar
D 1.12 created, 1.85 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
D 0.99 created, 1.20 conceded against FC Twente
D 0.80 created, 0.63 conceded against AFC Ajax
W 0.86 created, 1.08 conceded against NAC Breda

AZ Alkmaar

1.51 xG created 1.13 xGA

W 2.39 created, 0.48 conceded against FC Volendam
L 0.61 created, 1.73 conceded against PEC Zwolle
D 1.85 created, 1.12 conceded against Excelsior
W 1.16 created, 1.09 conceded against SC Telstar
L 1.39 created, 1.36 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
D 1.68 created, 0.97 conceded against AFC Ajax

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Excelsior: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

AZ Alkmaar 1:1 Excelsior 21/01/2026 xG 1.85 – 1.12

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.