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Saturday, 14/02/2026 at 20:00

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Match report · Eredivisie

AFC Ajax 4:1 Fortuna Sittard

AFC Ajax Home 1.18 xG
Fortuna Sittard Away 0.84 xG
41 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

AFC Ajax Fortuna Sittard
Shots
20
8
On target
8
1
Inside the box
15
5
xG per shot
0.06
0.11

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
AFC Ajax

2.04 xG created 1.08 xGA

  • D 2.02 created, 2.05 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
  • W 1.74 created, 0.77 conceded against SC Telstar
  • D 3.43 created, 0.86 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
  • W 3.44 created, 0.31 conceded against FC Volendam
  • D 0.63 created, 0.80 conceded against Excelsior
  • D 0.97 created, 1.68 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard

0.82 xG created 2.38 xGA

  • W 1.38 created, 3.79 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
  • D 0.84 created, 1.72 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
  • L 0.33 created, 3.03 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
  • W 0.80 created, 2.42 conceded against FC Groningen
  • L 0.60 created, 2.01 conceded against Heracles Almelo
  • D 0.99 created, 1.31 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

AFC Ajax: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.