SC Telstar 2:3 AFC Ajax: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Sunday, 11/01/2026 at 14:30

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

SC Telstar Home 0.77 xG

AFC Ajax Away 1.74 xG

23 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

SC Telstar AFC Ajax

Shots: 7; 16
On target: 3; 10
Inside the box: 7; 12
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.11

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

SC Telstar

1.25 xG created 1.55 xGA

D 0.61 created, 1.71 conceded against FC Twente
D 1.29 created, 0.94 conceded against FC Utrecht
L 1.57 created, 1.59 conceded against Feyenoord
D 0.71 created, 1.97 conceded against Heracles Almelo
D 1.82 created, 2.34 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
W 1.48 created, 0.73 conceded against NAC Breda

AFC Ajax

1.19 xG created 1.60 xGA

L 0.55 created, 1.29 conceded against FC Utrecht
L 1.30 created, 0.43 conceded against Excelsior
W 0.98 created, 1.76 conceded against FC Groningen
W 1.01 created, 2.18 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
W 1.25 created, 1.89 conceded against Feyenoord
D 2.02 created, 2.05 conceded against NEC Nijmegen

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

SC Telstar: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

AFC Ajax 2:0 SC Telstar 10/08/2025 xG 1.69 – 1.08

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.