xgEdge

Saturday, 20/12/2025 at 20:00

Full time
Match report · Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen 2:2 AFC Ajax

NEC Nijmegen Home 2.05 xG
AFC Ajax Away 2.02 xG
22 The chances were evenly matched

The shots behind it

NEC Nijmegen AFC Ajax
Shots
15
19
On target
6
8
Inside the box
9
13
xG per shot
0.14
0.11

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
NEC Nijmegen

1.99 xG created 1.80 xGA

  • L 1.91 created, 1.16 conceded against FC Utrecht
  • W 1.47 created, 1.28 conceded against FC Groningen
  • W 2.25 created, 2.67 conceded against Feyenoord
  • W 2.78 created, 1.70 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
  • W 1.19 created, 2.14 conceded against FC Volendam
  • D 2.34 created, 1.82 conceded against SC Telstar
AFC Ajax

1.03 xG created 1.41 xGA

  • D 1.11 created, 0.91 conceded against SC Heerenveen
  • L 0.55 created, 1.29 conceded against FC Utrecht
  • L 1.30 created, 0.43 conceded against Excelsior
  • W 0.98 created, 1.76 conceded against FC Groningen
  • W 1.01 created, 2.18 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
  • W 1.25 created, 1.89 conceded against Feyenoord

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.