FC Utrecht 2:0 AZ Alkmaar: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Sunday, 01/03/2026 at 16:45

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

FC Utrecht Home 1.27 xG

AZ Alkmaar Away 0.73 xG

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

FC Utrecht AZ Alkmaar

Shots: 12; 10
On target: 3; 6
Inside the box: 9; 5
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.07

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC Utrecht

1.60 xG created 1.13 xGA

L 1.40 created, 0.59 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
D 0.83 created, 1.64 conceded against SC Heerenveen
L 1.06 created, 0.95 conceded against Feyenoord
W 1.78 created, 1.99 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
W 2.44 created, 0.78 conceded against FC Groningen
D 2.11 created, 0.85 conceded against PEC Zwolle

AZ Alkmaar

1.58 xG created 1.03 xGA

D 1.85 created, 1.12 conceded against Excelsior
W 1.16 created, 1.09 conceded against SC Telstar
L 1.39 created, 1.36 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
D 1.68 created, 0.97 conceded against AFC Ajax
W 2.01 created, 0.75 conceded against Excelsior
W 1.39 created, 0.91 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC Utrecht: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

AZ Alkmaar 4:1 FC Utrecht 26/10/2025 xG 3.59 – 0.99

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.