NEC Nijmegen 1:3 FC Utrecht: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Wednesday, 11/02/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen Home 1.99 xG

FC Utrecht Away 1.78 xG

13 The chances were evenly matched

The shots behind it

NEC Nijmegen FC Utrecht

Shots: 24; 11
On target: 7; 5
Inside the box: 9; 8
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.16

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

NEC Nijmegen

1.83 xG created 1.32 xGA

D 2.34 created, 1.82 conceded against SC Telstar
D 2.05 created, 2.02 conceded against AFC Ajax
W 1.19 created, 0.82 conceded against NAC Breda
W 1.50 created, 0.71 conceded against PEC Zwolle
W 1.36 created, 1.39 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
W 2.55 created, 1.16 conceded against Heracles Almelo

FC Utrecht

1.04 xG created 1.05 xGA

D 0.66 created, 1.20 conceded against NAC Breda
L 1.37 created, 1.53 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
L 0.93 created, 0.40 conceded against FC Volendam
L 1.40 created, 0.59 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
D 0.83 created, 1.64 conceded against SC Heerenveen
L 1.06 created, 0.95 conceded against Feyenoord

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

NEC Nijmegen: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

FC Utrecht 1:0 NEC Nijmegen 02/11/2025 xG 1.16 – 1.91

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.