xgEdge

Saturday, 21/03/2026 at 21:00

Full time
Match report · Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle 2:1 NAC Breda

PEC Zwolle Home 0.82 xG
NAC Breda Away 1.04 xG
21 The chances were evenly matched

The shots behind it

PEC Zwolle NAC Breda
Shots
8
20
On target
2
6
Inside the box
5
12
xG per shot
0.10
0.05

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
PEC Zwolle

1.21 xG created 1.61 xGA

  • L 0.70 created, 1.89 conceded against FC Volendam
  • L 1.19 created, 1.58 conceded against SC Heerenveen
  • D 0.85 created, 2.11 conceded against FC Utrecht
  • D 1.09 created, 0.33 conceded against AFC Ajax
  • D 1.25 created, 1.67 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
  • D 2.16 created, 2.09 conceded against FC Groningen
NAC Breda

1.04 xG created 1.16 xGA

  • L 1.08 created, 0.86 conceded against Excelsior
  • W 1.26 created, 1.12 conceded against Heracles Almelo
  • W 1.39 created, 0.52 conceded against FC Volendam
  • L 0.36 created, 1.24 conceded against SC Telstar
  • D 1.03 created, 1.64 conceded against Feyenoord
  • L 1.13 created, 1.56 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

PEC Zwolle: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.