Heracles Almelo 0:1 NAC Breda: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Saturday, 14/02/2026 at 16:30

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

Heracles Almelo Home 1.12 xG

NAC Breda Away 1.26 xG

01 The chances were evenly matched

The shots behind it

Heracles Almelo NAC Breda

Shots: 14; 13
On target: 3; 5
Inside the box: 10; 6
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.10

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Heracles Almelo

1.14 xG created 1.89 xGA

L 0.48 created, 1.76 conceded against SC Heerenveen
L 0.33 created, 2.39 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
L 0.78 created, 2.53 conceded against FC Twente
L 2.05 created, 1.48 conceded against Feyenoord
W 2.01 created, 0.60 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
L 1.16 created, 2.55 conceded against NEC Nijmegen

NAC Breda

1.04 xG created 1.38 xGA

L 0.73 created, 1.48 conceded against SC Telstar
D 0.82 created, 1.30 conceded against FC Groningen
L 0.82 created, 1.19 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
D 1.50 created, 1.79 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
D 1.26 created, 1.63 conceded against FC Twente
L 1.08 created, 0.86 conceded against Excelsior

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Heracles Almelo: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

NAC Breda 2:1 Heracles Almelo 20/09/2025 xG 2.28 – 0.90

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.