Heracles Almelo 0:2 FC Twente: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Sunday, 18/01/2026 at 14:30

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

Heracles Almelo Home 0.78 xG

FC Twente Away 2.53 xG

02 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Heracles Almelo FC Twente

Shots: 11; 18
On target: 2; 6
Inside the box: 8; 12
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.14

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Heracles Almelo

1.43 xG created 1.80 xGA

W 2.62 created, 0.98 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
D 0.57 created, 1.71 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
D 1.97 created, 0.71 conceded against SC Telstar
L 2.64 created, 3.22 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
L 0.48 created, 1.76 conceded against SC Heerenveen
L 0.33 created, 2.39 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam

FC Twente

2.19 xG created 0.80 xGA

D 2.52 created, 1.39 conceded against FC Volendam
W 0.89 created, 1.29 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
D 1.58 created, 0.73 conceded against FC Utrecht
W 3.55 created, 0.32 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
D 2.54 created, 0.69 conceded against Feyenoord
D 2.07 created, 0.40 conceded against PEC Zwolle

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Heracles Almelo: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

FC Twente 2:1 Heracles Almelo 05/10/2025 xG 1.30 – 0.60

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.