Who defends for points

The award does not stack and it is not a rate: it is a threshold cleared once, 10 actions for a defender and 12 for a midfielder, which the game counts differently for the two — a midfielder's recoveries are in his total and a defender's are not. What the column holds is how likely he is to clear it, priced at what the game pays.

A clean sheet here is the probability that the opponent scores exactly zero, off the same fitted scoreline the rest of this site prices matches with. It is not one minus an average, and it is the reason this model exists rather than reading the game's own one-to-five fixture rating.

A dash in the rate column means the game publishes no defensive contribution total for that player at all. It is not a nought: nought would say he has produced none, where the dash says the figure is not in the feed.

The bonus column is the one measured figure on the board — his stored bonus points system total over the minutes he played for it, highlighted above 25 per 90, which is roughly where the three-per-match award starts arriving. This site projects bonus nowhere, so it is a reading of his season rather than a claim about the round.

Goalkeepers and forwards are not here. A goalkeeper cannot earn the contribution award at all and a forward is paid nothing for a clean sheet, so neither has a defensive half this board could rank him on.

Every ranking here is in expected points or in the weighted score for the rounds ahead, which are the units this model is measured in. The value column is those figures restated over a price — it is a way of scanning the board, and nothing on this site backtests it.

The board is every player the game would let you field, the flagged included — whether a doubtful player is worth picking is a judgement the projection makes with his published chance of playing, not one made by hiding him.