xgEdge

Fantasy Premier League

Best value in the game

Every player the game would let you field, projected over the rounds ahead and priced against them. The board is ranked on the model's own currency; the value column is one click away.

Best value in the game

Emiliano Martínez

GKP · CHE · 5.0m · owned by 4.7%

1.49

Value

every bar on one axis of 0 to 2.0

That is 7.5 projected points over the rounds ahead, weighted so the round in front of him counts for most.

Gameweek 6 · 3-round window · feed of 06/10 16:00

Emiliano Martínez is the best value on the board: 1.49 points per million, from a weighted projection of 7.5 over 3 rounds at 5.0m.

Price

5.0m

What the game charges for him today, which is what the value column divides by.

Weighted

7.5

His weighted projection over the next 3 rounds, which is what this board is ranked on.

Own

4.7%

The share of managers already holding him.

The top five on this board

The board as your controls leave it — the same five that open the table below.

  1. Ranked 1 Morgan Rogers
    MID CHE vs
    9.0 Weighted
    Value
    1.17
    Price
    7.7m
    Own
    41%
    2.7
    1. BOU (H)
    2. EVE (A)
    3. TOT (H)
  2. Ranked 2 Emiliano Martínez
    GKP CHE vs
    7.5 Weighted
    Value
    1.49
    Price
    5.0m
    Own
    4.7%
    2.7
    1. BOU (H)
    2. EVE (A)
    3. TOT (H)
  3. Ranked 3 Maxence Lacroix
    DEF CHE vs
    7.3 Weighted
    Value
    1.24
    Price
    5.9m
    Own
    6.8%
    2.7
    1. BOU (H)
    2. EVE (A)
    3. TOT (H)
  4. Ranked 4 João Pedro !
    FWD CHE vs
    7.0 Weighted
    Value
    0.91
    Price
    7.7m
    Own
    65%
    2.7
    1. BOU (H)
    2. EVE (A)
    3. TOT (H)
  5. Ranked 5 Wesley Fofana
    DEF CHE vs
    6.9 Weighted
    Value
    1.39
    Price
    5.0m
    Own
    0.2%
    2.7
    1. BOU (H)
    2. EVE (A)
    3. TOT (H)
Position
Minutes played
Rounds ahead
Price
MID vs CHE · 7.7m 92%
Value
1.17
Pts
3.7
xGI
0.60
Own
41%
Mins
437
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
GKP vs CHE · 5.0m 75%
Value
1.49
Pts
3.1
xGI
0.00
Own
4.7%
Mins
360
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
DEF vs CHE · 5.9m 75%
Value
1.24
Pts
3.0
xGI
0.09
Own
6.8%
Mins
364
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
4 João Pedro ! 7.0
FWD vs CHE · 7.7m 56%
Value
0.91
Pts
2.9
xGI
0.59
Own
65%
Mins
360
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
DEF vs CHE · 5.0m 75%
Value
1.39
Pts
2.9
xGI
0.02
Own
0.2%
Mins
312
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
6 Cole Palmer ! 6.7
MID vs CHE · 9.7m 69%
Value
0.69
Pts
2.8
xGI
0.43
Own
25%
Mins
442
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
7 Pedro Neto 6.6
MID vs CHE · 6.5m 75%
Value
1.02
Pts
2.7
xGI
0.34
Own
1.4%
Mins
332
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
DEF vs CHE · 4.8m 75%
Value
1.18
Pts
2.4
xGI
0.01
Own
0.9%
Mins
341
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
9 Roméo Lavia 5.6
MID vs CHE · 5.0m 75%
Value
1.11
Pts
2.3
xGI
0.30
Own
0.2%
Mins
258
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
10 Malo Gusto 4.6
DEF vs CHE · 4.9m 58%
Value
0.94
Pts
1.9
xGI
0.07
Own
0.9%
Mins
272
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
11 Jorrel Hato 3.8
DEF vs CHE · 4.5m 75%
Value
0.84
Pts
1.6
xGI
0.07
Own
0.8%
Mins
258
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
12 Reece James ! 3.7
DEF vs CHE · 5.3m 44%
Value
0.69
Pts
1.5
xGI
0.18
Own
5.7%
Mins
292
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
13 Danny Welbeck 3.3
FWD vs CHE · 5.9m 25%
Value
0.56
Pts
1.4
xGI
0.15
Own
1.0%
Mins
85
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
DEF vs CHE · 4.5m 42%
Value
0.72
Pts
1.3
xGI
0.01
Own
0.3%
Mins
221
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
15 Mahdi Nicoll-Jazuli 2.9
MID vs CHE · 4.5m 25%
Value
0.64
Pts
1.2
xGI
0.00
Own
0.0%
Mins
3
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
16 Jordan Henderson 2.8
MID vs CHE · 4.9m 25%
Value
0.58
Pts
1.2
xGI
0.08
Own
0.0%
Mins
90
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
MID vs CHE · 5.4m 25%
Value
0.51
Pts
1.1
xGI
0.14
Own
0.1%
Mins
115
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
DEF vs CHE · 4.9m 25%
Value
0.46
Pts
0.9
xGI
0.05
Own
0.2%
Mins
208
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
19 Shumaira Mheuka 2.0
FWD vs CHE · 4.5m 8.3%
Value
0.45
Pts
0.8
xGI
0.00
Own
0.5%
Mins
0
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
20 Estêvão 1.8
MID vs CHE · 6.3m 8.3%
Value
0.28
Pts
0.7
xGI
0.54
Own
0.7%
Mins
23
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
MID vs CHE · 5.3m 8.3%
Value
0.33
Pts
0.7
xGI
0.13
Own
0.0%
Mins
27
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
22 Mike Penders 1.4
GKP vs CHE · 4.4m 8.3%
Value
0.32
Pts
0.6
xGI
0.00
Own
0.1%
Mins
0
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
23 Jamie Bynoe-Gittens ! 1.3
MID vs CHE · 5.8m 6.3%
Value
0.23
Pts
0.6
xGI
0.00
Own
0.0%
Mins
0
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
24 Aaron Anselmino 1.3
DEF vs CHE · 4.5m 8.3%
Value
0.28
Pts
0.5
xGI
0.00
Own
0.0%
Mins
0
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
25 Moisés Caicedo ! 0.9
MID vs CHE · 5.3m 4.2%
Value
0.17
Pts
0.4
xGI
0.00
Own
1.0%
Mins
13
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
26 Marco Palestra ! 0.7
DEF vs CHE · 5.3m 4.2%
Value
0.12
Pts
0.3
xGI
0.00
Own
0.6%
Mins
0
  1. BOU (H)
  2. EVE (A)
  3. TOT (H)
each row's weighted projection, drawn to scale every bar on one axis of 0 to 10

What this board is, and what it is not

Every ranking here is in expected points or in the weighted projection for the rounds ahead, which are the units this model is measured in. The value column is those figures restated over a price — it is a way of scanning the board, and nothing on this site backtests it.

Bonus points are projected nowhere on this site, so they are in none of these figures.

Nearer rounds count more: the weighted projection multiplies each round's projected points by a weight that shrinks the further away the round is. The 3 weights sum to 2.44, so the weighted projection is never a total anybody could add up from the per-round figures beside it.

The price is what he costs today. What the game would pay for a player who has risen is less, so a value figure is an estimate of a purchase rather than of a sale.

The board is every player the game would let you field, the flagged included — whether a doubtful player is worth picking is a judgement the projection makes with his published chance of playing, not one made by hiding him.

What we've tested

  • Backtested ✓ Projected points

    Average error 1.617 points vs 1.842 for the simple baseline across 456 players. The baseline predicts each player's average so far; the test replayed gameweek 2 after it was played, recorded Sunday, 6 September 2026.