Fantasy Premier League
Best value in the game
Every player the game would let you field, projected over the rounds ahead and priced against them. The board is ranked on the model's own currency; the value column is one click away.
Alisson Becker
GKP · LIV · 5.5m · owned by 4.2%
2.21
Value
every bar on one axis of 0 to 2.5
That is 12.1 projected points over the rounds ahead, weighted so the round in front of him counts for most.
Gameweek 6 · 5-round window · feed of 06/10 16:00
Alisson Becker is the best value on the board: 2.21 points per million, from a weighted projection of 12.1 over 5 rounds at 5.5m.
Price
5.5m
What the game charges for him today, which is what the value column divides by.
Weighted
12.1
His weighted projection over the next 5 rounds, which is what this board is ranked on.
Own
4.2%
The share of managers already holding him.
The top five on this board
The board as your controls leave it — the same five that open the table below.
-
Ranked 1 Alisson Becker12.1 Weighted
- Value
- 2.21
- Price
- 5.5m
- Own
- 4.2%
3.0- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
-
Ranked 2 Dominik Szoboszlai12.0 Weighted
- Value
- 1.74
- Price
- 6.9m
- Own
- 33%
3.0- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
-
Ranked 3 Virgil van Dijk11.5 Weighted
- Value
- 1.77
- Price
- 6.5m
- Own
- 16%
3.0- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
-
11.4 Weighted
- Value
- 1.25
- Price
- 9.1m
- Own
- 22%
3.0- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
-
Ranked 5 Florian Wirtz10.6 Weighted
- Value
- 1.46
- Price
- 7.3m
- Own
- 5.7%
3.0- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- Value
- 2.21
- Pts
- 3.6
- xGI
- 0.00
- Own
- 4.2%
- Mins
- 450
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- Value
- 1.74
- Pts
- 3.7
- xGI
- 0.46
- Own
- 33%
- Mins
- 440
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- Value
- 1.77
- Pts
- 3.4
- xGI
- 0.07
- Own
- 16%
- Mins
- 450
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- Value
- 1.25
- Pts
- 3.5
- xGI
- 0.79
- Own
- 22%
- Mins
- 413
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- Value
- 1.46
- Pts
- 3.2
- xGI
- 0.31
- Own
- 5.7%
- Mins
- 402
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- Value
- 1.11
- Pts
- 2.4
- xGI
- 0.58
- Own
- 12%
- Mins
- 370
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- Value
- 1.43
- Pts
- 2.2
- xGI
- 0.04
- Own
- 2.2%
- Mins
- 385
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- Value
- 1.49
- Pts
- 2.2
- xGI
- 0.03
- Own
- 3.5%
- Mins
- 415
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- Value
- 0.91
- Pts
- 2.2
- xGI
- 0.21
- Own
- 1.9%
- Mins
- 168
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- Value
- 1.31
- Pts
- 2.1
- xGI
- 0.17
- Own
- 1.3%
- Mins
- 306
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- Value
- 1.16
- Pts
- 1.8
- xGI
- 0.02
- Own
- 3.1%
- Mins
- 284
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- Value
- 0.92
- Pts
- 1.8
- xGI
- 0.29
- Own
- 0.9%
- Mins
- 257
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- Value
- 0.90
- Pts
- 1.6
- xGI
- 0.09
- Own
- 1.1%
- Mins
- 190
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- Value
- 0.82
- Pts
- 1.3
- xGI
- 0.13
- Own
- 1.7%
- Mins
- 178
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
- Value
- 0.68
- Pts
- 1.2
- xGI
- 0.19
- Own
- 0.5%
- Mins
- 99
- MCI (H)
- BRE (A)
- BHA (H)
- ARS (H)
- CRY (A)
What this board is, and what it is not
Every ranking here is in expected points or in the weighted projection for the rounds ahead, which are the units this model is measured in. The value column is those figures restated over a price — it is a way of scanning the board, and nothing on this site backtests it.
Bonus points are projected nowhere on this site, so they are in none of these figures.
Nearer rounds count more: the weighted projection multiplies each round's projected points by a weight that shrinks the further away the round is. The 5 weights sum to 3.36, so the weighted projection is never a total anybody could add up from the per-round figures beside it.
The price is what he costs today. What the game would pay for a player who has risen is less, so a value figure is an estimate of a purchase rather than of a sale.
The board is every player the game would let you field, the flagged included — whether a doubtful player is worth picking is a judgement the projection makes with his published chance of playing, not one made by hiding him.
What we've tested
-
Backtested ✓ Projected points
Average error 1.617 points vs 1.842 for the simple baseline across 456 players. The baseline predicts each player's average so far; the test replayed gameweek 2 after it was played, recorded Sunday, 6 September 2026.