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Saturday, 08/08/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · HNL

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3:1 HNK Gorica

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Home 1.13 xG · 12 shots
HNK Gorica Away 1.54 xG · 15 shots
31 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 12' Mirko Marić NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · 0.21 xG chance 1–0
  2. 40' Ante Kavelj (o.g.) NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · 0.10 xG chance 2–0
  3. 60' Bruno Bogojević HNK Gorica · 0.17 xG chance 2–1
  4. 90' Noel Đurković NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · 0.28 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb HNK Gorica
Shots
12
15
On target
5
4
Inside the box
9
12
xG per shot
0.10
0.10
Open play xG
0.58
1.46
Set-piece xG
0.65
0.05
Penalties
—
—

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's shots add up to 1.23 xG and HNK Gorica's to 1.51; the published figures are 1.13 and 1.54.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

HNK Gorica · Domagoj Pavičić · 22' · No goal · 10 m · 0.31 xG NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · Noel Đurković · 90' · Goal · 18 m · 0.28 xG NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · Mirko Marić · 79' · No goal · 8 m · 0.24 xG HNK Gorica · Patrik Mijić · 29' · No goal · 7 m · 0.23 xG NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · Mirko Marić · 12' · Goal · 5 m · 0.21 xG HNK Gorica · Bruno Bogojević · 60' · Goal · 8 m · 0.17 xG HNK Gorica · Patrik Mijić · 63' · No goal · 13 m · 0.16 xG HNK Gorica · Patrik Mijić · 8' · No goal · 15 m · 0.12 xG HNK Gorica · Bruno Bogojević · 23' · No goal · 13 m · 0.11 xG NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · Ante Kavelj · 40' · Goal · 4 m · 0.10 xG HNK Gorica · Patrik Mijić · 66' · No goal · 8 m · 0.10 xG NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · Athanasios Triantafyllou · 71' · No goal · 8 m · 0.08 xG HNK Gorica · Patrik Mijić · 55' · No goal · 16 m · 0.07 xG NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · Mirko Marić · 72' · No goal · 8 m · 0.07 xG NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · Tino Jukić · 72' · No goal · 8 m · 0.07 xG HNK Gorica · Filip Braut · 16' · No goal · 10 m · 0.06 xG NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · Mirko Marić · 56' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · Tino Jukić · 74' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG HNK Gorica · Patrik Mijić · 24' · No goal · 9 m · 0.04 xG HNK Gorica · Domagoj Pavičić · 41' · No goal · 20 m · 0.04 xG NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · Dominik Thaqi · 72' · No goal · 16 m · 0.04 xG HNK Gorica · Bruno Bogojević · 5' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG HNK Gorica · Ante Kavelj · 59' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · Matija Subotić · 72' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG HNK Gorica · Bruno Bogojević · 89' · No goal · 19 m · 0.03 xG HNK Gorica · Ante Kavelj · 34' · No goal · 8 m · 0.01 xG NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · Marko Pajač · 74' · No goal · 0 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

27 shots · 2.74 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
  • HNK Gorica
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

0.76 xG created 1.80 xGA

  • D 0.32 created, 1.38 conceded against NK Osijek
  • L 0.33 created, 2.13 conceded against HNK Rijeka
  • D 0.29 created, 0.75 conceded against NK Varaždin
  • D 1.50 created, 3.39 conceded against HNK Hajduk Split
  • D 0.95 created, 0.82 conceded against GNK Dinamo Zagreb
  • W 1.16 created, 2.35 conceded against NK Istra 1961
HNK Gorica

0.76 xG created 1.30 xGA

  • W 1.61 created, 0.95 conceded against NK Istra 1961
  • L 1.12 created, 0.41 conceded against GNK Dinamo Zagreb
  • L 0.33 created, 1.07 conceded against NK Slaven Belupo
  • W 0.55 created, 1.29 conceded against NK Osijek
  • L 0.14 created, 1.40 conceded against HNK Rijeka
  • L 0.82 created, 2.70 conceded against NK Osijek

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.