xgEdge

Expected goals

Cercle Brugge expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Jupiler Pro League · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

Cercle Brugge's attacking and defensive expected goals in Jupiler Pro League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Cercle Brugge xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.69 xG per match
#7/18
Attack (xG per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 2.16
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2.09
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.91
#4 Sint-Truidense VV 1.91
#5 Standard Liège 1.79
#6 KRC Genk 1.78
#7 Cercle Brugge 1.69
#8 RSC Anderlecht 1.62
#9 KVC Westerlo 1.45
#10 Royal Antwerp FC 1.34
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.29
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 1.26
#13 KV Mechelen 1.22
#14 KAA Gent 1.16
#15 SK Beveren 1.11
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.01
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.99
#18 Lommel SK 0.94
League avg
1.48
Total
11.80 7 matches
Defence
1.75 xGA per match
#12/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 KAA Gent 0.66
#2 RSC Anderlecht 0.87
#3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.02
#4 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.06
#5 KRC Genk 1.08
#6 Club Brugge KV 1.20
#7 SV Zulte Waregem 1.31
#8 KV Mechelen 1.46
#9 Lommel SK 1.50
#10 Standard Liège 1.53
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.65
#12 Cercle Brugge 1.75
#13 KVC Westerlo 1.81
#14 Sint-Truidense VV 1.84
#15 SK Beveren 1.86
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.88
#17 KV Kortrijk 1.92
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 2.30
League avg
1.48
Total
12.28 7 matches
xG difference
-0.07 xGD per match
#10/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise +1.06
#2 Club Brugge KV +0.96
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi +0.86
#4 RSC Anderlecht +0.76
#5 KRC Genk +0.70
#6 KAA Gent +0.50
#7 Standard Liège +0.25
#8 Sint-Truidense VV +0.07
#9 SV Zulte Waregem -0.05
#10 Cercle Brugge -0.07
#11 KV Mechelen -0.24
#12 RAAL La Louvière -0.36
#13 KVC Westerlo -0.37
#14 Lommel SK -0.56
#15 SK Beveren -0.75
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven -0.87
#17 KV Kortrijk -0.93
#18 Royal Antwerp FC -0.97
League avg
0.00
Total
-0.48 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.25 xPts per match
#10/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 RC Sporting Charleroi 2.02
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.98
#3 Club Brugge KV 1.90
#4 RSC Anderlecht 1.88
#5 KAA Gent 1.81
#6 KRC Genk 1.64
#7 Standard Liège 1.48
#8 Sint-Truidense VV 1.44
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 1.34
#10 Cercle Brugge 1.25
#11 KVC Westerlo 1.24
#12 KV Mechelen 1.19
#13 RAAL La Louvière 1.08
#14 Royal Antwerp FC 1.00
#15 Lommel SK 1.00
#16 SK Beveren 0.95
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.87
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.86
League avg
1.39
Total
8.76 vs 3 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Cercle Brugge's underlying numbers sit close to the Jupiler Pro League average. They rank #10 for xG difference at -0.07 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 8 goals are 3.80 below 11.80 xG, while 3 points are 5.76 below 8.76 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.54 xG from penalties
8 11.80 -3.80 scored 3.80 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
14 12.28 +1.72 conceded 1.72 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
3 8.76 -5.76 5.76 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Cercle Brugge are 3.80 goals below their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
8
xG
11.80
Gap
-3.80
Sat 08/08 Fri 14/08 Sun 23/08 Sat 29/08 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +0.53 -0.62 -1.38 -2.63 -3.12 -3.72 -3.80 +0.53 -1.15 -0.76 -1.25 -0.49 -0.60 -0.08 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Cercle Brugge: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 08/08 Standard Liège 2 1.47 +0.53 +0.53
Fri 14/08 Sint-Truidense VV 3 4.15 -1.15 -0.62
Sun 23/08 Club Brugge KV 0 0.76 -0.76 -1.38
Sat 29/08 Lommel SK 0 1.25 -1.25 -2.63
Sun 06/09 KAA Gent 0 0.49 -0.49 -3.12
Sat 12/09 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1 1.60 -0.60 -3.72
Sat 19/09 RC Sporting Charleroi 2 2.08 -0.08 -3.80

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Cercle Brugge xG trend

Current form +0.10 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 2 of 7 matches. The worst was against Standard Liège on Sat 08/08 (-1.17).

npxG · last 6
1.47
npxGA · last 6
1.37
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 -1.17 Sat 08/08 +2.20 Fri 14/08 -1.12 Sun 23/08 -0.39 Sat 29/08 -0.03 Sun 06/09 -0.11 Sat 12/09 +0.04 Sat 19/09 -0.08 season avg
Cercle Brugge: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 08/08 Standard Liège 1.45 2.62 -1.17 -1.17
Fri 14/08 Sint-Truidense VV 4.25 2.05 +2.20 +0.52
Sun 23/08 Club Brugge KV 0.71 1.83 -1.12 -0.03
Sat 29/08 Lommel SK 1.25 1.64 -0.39 -0.12
Sun 06/09 KAA Gent 0.50 0.53 -0.03 -0.10
Sat 12/09 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.81 0.92 -0.11 -0.10
Sat 19/09 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.29 1.25 +0.04 -0.08

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.47 npxG and 1.55 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 7 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
+0.03 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
tied number 6 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
+0.05 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.03 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · tied number 7 hardest of 18

  1. RC Sporting Charleroi Away +0.29
  2. Oud-Heverlee Leuven Away −0.25
  3. KAA Gent Home +0.09
  4. Lommel SK Home −0.43
  5. Club Brugge KV Away +0.56
  6. Sint-Truidense VV Home +0.11
  7. Standard Liège Away −0.19

Last 5

+0.05 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 6 hardest of 18

  1. RC Sporting Charleroi Away +0.29
  2. Oud-Heverlee Leuven Away −0.25
  3. KAA Gent Home +0.09
  4. Lommel SK Home −0.43
  5. Club Brugge KV Away +0.56

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Cercle Brugge shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. Cercle Brugge take 14.7 shots a match (league 14.2) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #8 in Jupiler Pro League for volume and #7 for quality. 72% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 35% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
14.7 shots per match
#8/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 18.7
#2 RC Sporting Charleroi 18.0
=3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 17.3
=3 Sint-Truidense VV 17.3
#5 RSC Anderlecht 16.6
#6 KVC Westerlo 15.3
#7 Royal Antwerp FC 15.1
#8 Cercle Brugge 14.7
#9 KRC Genk 14.1
#10 Standard Liège 14.0
#11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13.1
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 12.9
#13 KAA Gent 12.4
#14 KV Mechelen 11.9
#15 KV Kortrijk 11.7
#16 RAAL La Louvière 10.9
#17 SK Beveren 10.7
#18 Lommel SK 10.0
League avg
14.2
Total
103 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#7/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.12
#2 Standard Liège 0.11
#3 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#4 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#5 KRC Genk 0.11
#6 Club Brugge KV 0.10
#7 Cercle Brugge 0.10
#8 RSC Anderlecht 0.10
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#10 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.10
#11 SK Beveren 0.09
#12 KVC Westerlo 0.09
#13 KV Kortrijk 0.09
#14 KAA Gent 0.09
#15 KV Mechelen 0.09
#16 Royal Antwerp FC 0.08
#17 Lommel SK 0.08
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
10.26 npxG from 103 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
13.6 shots per match
#7/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 RSC Anderlecht 9.9
#2 KAA Gent 10.3
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 11.0
#4 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 11.3
#5 SV Zulte Waregem 12.1
#6 Club Brugge KV 13.1
#7 Cercle Brugge 13.6
#8 KV Mechelen 14.3
#9 KRC Genk 14.7
=10 KV Kortrijk 14.9
=10 Sint-Truidense VV 14.9
=12 KVC Westerlo 15.0
=12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15.0
#14 Standard Liège 15.3
#15 SK Beveren 15.6
#16 RAAL La Louvière 15.7
#17 Royal Antwerp FC 17.1
#18 Lommel SK 21.0
League avg
14.2
Total
95 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#15/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 KRC Genk 0.07
#2 KAA Gent 0.07
#3 Lommel SK 0.07
#4 Standard Liège 0.08
#5 RSC Anderlecht 0.09
#6 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.09
#7 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.09
#8 Club Brugge KV 0.09
#9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.10
#10 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#11 KV Mechelen 0.11
#12 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#13 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#14 SK Beveren 0.11
#15 Cercle Brugge 0.11
#16 KV Kortrijk 0.11
#17 KVC Westerlo 0.11
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
10.84 npxGA from 95 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

72% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 74 of 103 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

67% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 64 of 95 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

65% open play · 35% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 3.6 of 10.3 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

87% open play · 13% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 1.4 of 10.7 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Cercle Brugge home and away xG

Cercle Brugge per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 4
xG / match 1.96 1.48
xGA / match 1.63 1.85
xGD / match +0.33 -0.37
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.40 1.14

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Cercle Brugge match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

At home this season

Matches
3
xG / match
1.96
xGA / match
1.63
xGD / match
+0.33
Points
1 of 9
  1. Sun 06/09 KAA Gent H xG 0.49 xGA 1.22 P xGD -0.73
  2. Sat 29/08 Lommel SK H xG 1.25 xGA 1.63 xGD -0.38
  3. Fri 14/08 Sint-Truidense VV H xG 4.15 xGA 2.04 xGD +2.11

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.15. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Cercle Brugge in Jupiler Pro League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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