xgEdge

KV Mechelen's recorded results for 2025/2026, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 40 of 40 matching results

40 played this season

Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
13 wins, 12 draws, 15 losses

51 pts (3/1/0) 48–61 goals −13 GD

Chances

No comparable xG available

Comparable xG: 0 of 40 completed results.

40 results have unverified period coverage.

Points vs xPts equivalents Model

xPts unavailable

Matched xPts: 0 of 40 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

A 3/1/0 equivalent of recorded results, not standings points or qualification. The selection's league scoring format is not verified, or it mixes competitions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · All venues

KV Mechelen's mixed record has no recorded xG behind it in this selection, so it cannot be read against the chances.

Points against xPts, over the selected results

The running totals appear once two of the selected results carry a model figure.

Scores and xG

KV Mechelen first

  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.42 – 1.52

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Sint-Truidense VV, Sun 24/05

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.83 – 1.69

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Club Brugge KV, Thu 21/05

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.16 – 0.94

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RSC Anderlecht, Sun 17/05

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.37 – 2.52

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, Sun 10/05

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.74 – 1.41

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KAA Gent, Sun 03/05

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.27 – 1.08

    1:4 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Sint-Truidense VV, Sun 26/04

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.01 – 4.32

    1:6 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Club Brugge KV, Wed 22/04

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.33 – 1.45

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RSC Anderlecht, Sat 18/04

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.36 – 2.74

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, Sun 12/04

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.81 – 0.83

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KAA Gent, Mon 06/04

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.54 – 2.62

    1:4 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Club Brugge KV, Sun 22/03

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.12 – 1.45

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RSC Anderlecht, Sun 15/03

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.50 – 2.20

    1:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KAA Gent, Sun 08/03

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.26 – 1.88

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SV Zulte Waregem, Sat 28/02

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.65 – 0.34

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RAAL La Louvière, Sun 22/02

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.71 – 2.99

    2:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KRC Genk, Fri 13/02

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.66 – 1.08

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Royal Antwerp FC, Sun 08/02

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.54 – 2.14

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Oud-Heverlee Leuven, Sun 01/02

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 2.41 – 1.16

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KVC Westerlo, Sun 25/01

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.54 – 1.36

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, Sat 17/01

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.06 – 1.09

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FCV Dender, Sat 27/12

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.51 – 1.55

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Sint-Truidense VV, Sun 21/12

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.51 – 2.07

    3:2 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Cercle Brugge, Sat 13/12

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.94 – 0.78

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RC Sporting Charleroi, Sun 07/12

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.41 – 0.97

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Standard Liège, Fri 28/11

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.61 – 2.29

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KRC Genk, Sun 23/11

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.07 – 1.44

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, Sun 09/11

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.11 – 1.60

    1:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RSC Anderlecht, Sat 01/11

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.56 – 1.57

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Oud-Heverlee Leuven, Sat 25/10

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.93 – 2.89

    3:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FCV Dender, Sun 19/10

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.97 – 3.20

    1:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Sint-Truidense VV, Sat 04/10

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.11 – 0.62

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RC Sporting Charleroi, Sun 28/09

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.06 – 1.67

    0:0 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Cercle Brugge, Sun 21/09

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.02 – 1.16

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Standard Liège, Fri 12/09

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 2.06 – 0.78

    3:2 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RAAL La Louvière, Sat 30/08

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 2.95 – 0.88

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Royal Antwerp FC, Sun 24/08

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.04 – 1.64

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KAA Gent, Sat 16/08

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.58 – 1.91

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KVC Westerlo, Sat 09/08

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 2.02 – 1.61

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Club Brugge KV, Fri 01/08

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.50 – 2.34

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SV Zulte Waregem, Sat 26/07

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →