xgEdge

Jupiler Pro League odds: performance 2026/2027

Estimates from a statistical model, published for reading rather than as betting advice. A positive value is a statement about an average over a long run, not about the match in front of you.

18+. Betting costs money over time; stake only what losing would not matter. If it has stopped being a choice, help is at [help service not yet named].

How the Jupiler Pro League qualified selections in History have done, on an equal stake of one unit each. The record starts when the live feed started, and nothing in it was added afterwards.

How these figures are counted

Staking
A flat 1 unit on every selection. A win returns the price less the stake, a loss costs the stake, and a void returns it.
Which selections count
A selection counts if it was a qualified edge at the model's last evaluation before kickoff: a price fresh by the odds schedule at that moment and captured no later than the evaluation, full model data, a market with measured skill, and an edge from 5% up to but not including 40%. The same rule as the live board's.
Odds source
The best price across the bookmakers in the odds feed, at the last capture before kickoff.
When prices are captured
On the feed's schedule, more often as kickoff approaches. History shows when each price was captured.
Frozen, never backfilled
Every selection is frozen at kickoff. Nothing evaluated or priced at or after kickoff is counted, and no selection is ever added afterwards. ROI is shown from 30 settled selections.

2026/2027 so far

Settled
37
Won
7
Lost
30
Void
0
Staked
37.00u
Profit
−16.59u
ROI
−44.8%
Average price
3.41
Win rate
18.9% against 38.1% average implied probability

Cumulative units

Jupiler Pro League 2026/2027: cumulative profit in units Cumulative profit from 21 Aug to 21 Sep, ending at −16.59u. The lowest point was −16.59u on 21 Sep; the highest was 0.00u on 21 Aug. −20.00u −15.00u −10.00u −5.00u 0.00u 21 Aug 21 Sep
Running profit on a flat stake of one unit, after each day selections were settled. The heavier horizontal line is zero.
Show as table
Jupiler Pro League 2026/2027: profit by settlement day
Settled That day Cumulative
22 Aug −2.00u −2.00u
30 Aug −3.00u −5.00u
3 Sep −3.00u −8.00u
4 Sep +1.10u −6.90u
6 Sep −2.00u −8.90u
7 Sep −2.00u −10.90u
12 Sep 0.00u −10.90u
13 Sep +1.40u −9.50u
14 Sep −0.72u −10.22u
21 Sep −6.38u −16.59u

By market

Jupiler Pro League selections by market
Market Settled Won Profit ROI
Home team to score 4 1 +4.00u —
Away team to score 6 1 −4.33u —
Full-time result (1X2) 10 1 −7.60u —
Home team 2+ goals 7 2 −2.28u —
Away team 2+ goals 10 2 −6.39u —

A market's ROI is shown from 30 settled selections in it.