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Jupiler Pro League finishing: goals vs xG 2026/2027

The Jupiler Pro League players whose non-penalty goals have run furthest from the chances behind them, either way. Penalties come out of both halves: a penalty is awarded rather than created, and it is a separate skill.

Mustapha Isah is furthest above his chances, 1.29 ahead of them: 5 non-penalty goals from 3.71 npxG. Ilias Sebaoui is furthest below, 2.54 short: 1 non-penalty goal from 3.54 npxG.

5 players on the two lists

Most above xG

Jupiler Pro League finishing: goals vs xG 2026/2027: Most above xG
# Player Club Min Shots npG npxG npG − npxG Per shot
1 Mustapha Isah RAAL La Louvière 561 18 5 3.71 +1.29 +0.07

Most below xG

Jupiler Pro League finishing: goals vs xG 2026/2027: Most below xG
# Player Club Min Shots npG npxG npG − npxG Per shot
1 Ilias Sebaoui Sint-Truidense VV 619 27 1 3.54 −2.54 −0.09
2 Steve Ngoura Cercle Brugge 485 21 1 2.89 −1.89 −0.09
3 Danylo Sikan RSC Anderlecht 505 23 1 2.50 −1.50 −0.07
4 Nicolò Tresoldi Club Brugge KV 530 21 2 3.29 −1.29 −0.06

Over a season, most finishing gaps of this size shrink. Shot quality, shot selection and finishing skill all move this number; so does chance.

About these figures What each column counts, and which feed it was counted from. Show
Min
Minutes played.
Shots
Shots he has taken in this competition this season.
npG
Goals with penalties taken out.
npxG
Expected goals with penalties taken out.
npG − npxG
Non-penalty goals less non-penalty xG.
Per shot
npG − npxG divided by the shots he took.

A player is listed once the median Jupiler Pro League club has played 6 matches, with at least 450 minutes and 2.0 non-penalty xG, and only where his non-penalty goals are 1.0 or more from his non-penalty xG — the 10 furthest each way. Every count is summed over the matches we hold per-player figures for, and penalties are taken out of both halves on the shot feed's flag.

Learn how xgEdge calculates these figures →