xgEdge

RC Sporting Charleroi's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 3 of 3 matching results

7 played this season

3 available results · Last 5 requested

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses

9 pts 5–1 goals +4 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
4.58 – 2.54
1.53 – 0.85 per match
xGD
+2.04
+0.68 per match
xG record
3 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 0 against them

Small sample: 3 matches.

Comparable xG: 3 of 3 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

9 pts 5.8 xPts

+3.2 vs xPts

Small sample: 3 matches.

Matched xPts: 3 of 3 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 5 · All competitions · Away

RC Sporting Charleroi's perfect record is broadly supported by the chances at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 3 of 3 matches, for +2.04 xG difference overall on 4.58–2.54. Their points total of 9 sits 3.2 above the model's 5.8 xPts, so the results have clearly outrun the chances.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 3 results RC Sporting Charleroi are 3.17 points above their xPts.

Points
9
xPts
5.83
Gap
+3.17
Sun 16/08 Sat 29/08 Sun 13/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +0.80 +2.05 +3.17 +0.80 +1.25 +1.12 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
RC Sporting Charleroi: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sun 16/08 Lommel SK 3 2.20 +0.80 +0.80
Sat 29/08 KV Kortrijk 3 1.75 +1.25 +2.05
Sun 13/09 SV Zulte Waregem 3 1.88 +1.12 +3.17

Scores and xG

RC Sporting Charleroi first

  • Away Jupiler Pro League Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.64

    xGA 1.00

    xGD +0.64

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SV Zulte Waregem, Sun 13/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.88
    Points minus xPts
    +1.12

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.69

    xGA 1.20

    xGD +0.49

    3:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KV Kortrijk, Sat 29/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.75
    Points minus xPts
    +1.25

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.25

    xGA 0.34

    xGD +0.91

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Lommel SK, Sun 16/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.20
    Points minus xPts
    +0.80

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →