Rayo Vallecano 0:1 Sevilla: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 28/09/2025 at 14:00

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Match report · La Liga

Rayo Vallecano Home 1.89 xG · 18 shots

Sevilla Away 0.63 xG · 4 shots

01 The result went against the chances

Goals

87' Akor Adams Sevilla · 0.40 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Rayo Vallecano Sevilla

Shots: 18; 4
On target: 6; 1
Inside the box: 13; 2
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.13
Open play xG: 1.32; 0.40
Set-piece xG: 0.56; 0.11
Penalties: —; —

Rayo Vallecano's shots add up to 1.88 xG and Sevilla's to 0.51; the published figures are 1.89 and 0.63.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 2.39 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Rayo Vallecano

1.53 xG created 1.68 xGA

W 3.43 created, 0.56 conceded against Girona FC
L 0.29 created, 1.51 conceded against Athletic Club
D 1.85 created, 1.83 conceded against Barcelona
L 1.04 created, 1.77 conceded against Osasuna
D 0.99 created, 0.81 conceded against Celta Vigo
L 1.60 created, 3.61 conceded against Atlético Madrid

Sevilla

0.77 xG created 1.60 xGA

L 1.01 created, 2.89 conceded against Athletic Club
L 0.51 created, 0.71 conceded against Getafe
W 1.26 created, 2.12 conceded against Girona FC
D 0.38 created, 0.95 conceded against Elche
W 0.48 created, 0.95 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
L 0.97 created, 1.95 conceded against Villarreal

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.