Sevilla 0:1 Real Madrid: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 17/05/2026 at 19:00

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Match report · La Liga

Sevilla Home 0.72 xG · 14 shots

Real Madrid Away 1.00 xG · 12 shots

01 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

15' Vinícius Júnior Real Madrid · 0.10 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Sevilla Real Madrid

Shots: 14; 12
On target: 6; 1
Inside the box: 7; 9
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.62; 0.87
Set-piece xG: 0.10; 0.16
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.03 for Real Madrid.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 1.75 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Sevilla
Real Madrid
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Sevilla

1.10 xG created 0.90 xGA

W 1.85 created, 0.84 conceded against Atlético Madrid
L 0.28 created, 1.53 conceded against Levante UD
L 0.40 created, 1.43 conceded against Osasuna
W 1.82 created, 0.16 conceded against Real Sociedad
W 1.38 created, 0.61 conceded against Espanyol
W 0.87 created, 0.83 conceded against Villarreal

Real Madrid

1.57 xG created 1.10 xGA

D 2.30 created, 0.52 conceded against Girona FC
W 1.62 created, 1.76 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
D 1.19 created, 1.08 conceded against Real Betis
W 2.10 created, 1.21 conceded against Espanyol
L 0.85 created, 1.01 conceded against Barcelona
W 1.36 created, 1.04 conceded against Real Oviedo

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Sevilla: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Real Madrid 2:0 Sevilla 20/12/2025 xG 2.33 – 1.56

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.