Real Madrid 2:0 Sevilla: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 20/12/2025 at 21:00

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Match report · La Liga

Real Madrid Home 2.33 xG · 18 shots

Sevilla Away 1.56 xG · 14 shots

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

38' Jude Bellingham Real Madrid · 0.07 xG chance 1–0
86' Kylian Mbappé (pen.) Real Madrid · 0.82 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Real Madrid Sevilla

Shots: 18; 14
On target: 8; 5
Inside the box: 15; 10
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.11
Open play xG: 0.90; 1.45
Set-piece xG: 0.67; 0.10
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.54 for Real Madrid and 1.50 for Sevilla.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

32 shots · 3.94 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Real Madrid
Sevilla
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Real Madrid

2.22 xG created 1.20 xGA

D 0.98 created, 1.20 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
D 3.49 created, 1.44 conceded against Elche
D 2.53 created, 0.79 conceded against Girona FC
W 2.21 created, 0.84 conceded against Athletic Club
L 2.29 created, 1.55 conceded against Celta Vigo
W 1.83 created, 1.36 conceded against Deportivo Alavés

Sevilla

1.11 xG created 1.48 xGA

L 0.46 created, 3.53 conceded against Atlético Madrid
W 1.70 created, 1.29 conceded against Osasuna
L 1.75 created, 1.06 conceded against Espanyol
L 0.37 created, 1.17 conceded against Real Betis
D 0.32 created, 1.19 conceded against Valencia
W 2.03 created, 0.64 conceded against Real Oviedo

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.