Real Madrid 0:2 Celta Vigo: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 07/12/2025 at 21:00

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Match report · La Liga

Real Madrid Home 2.29 xG · 23 shots

Celta Vigo Away 1.55 xG · 7 shots

02 The result went against the chances

Goals

54' Williot Swedberg Celta Vigo · 0.24 xG chance 0–1
90' Williot Swedberg Celta Vigo · 0.94 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Real Madrid Celta Vigo

Shots: 23; 7
On target: 7; 5
Inside the box: 12; 4
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.21
Open play xG: 1.64; 1.48
Set-piece xG: 0.66; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Real Madrid's shots add up to 2.30 xG and Celta Vigo's to 1.48; the published figures are 2.29 and 1.55.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 3.78 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Real Madrid

2.61 xG created 0.96 xGA

W 3.63 created, 1.03 conceded against Barcelona
W 2.80 created, 0.46 conceded against Valencia
D 0.98 created, 1.20 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
D 3.49 created, 1.44 conceded against Elche
D 2.53 created, 0.79 conceded against Girona FC
W 2.21 created, 0.84 conceded against Athletic Club

Celta Vigo

1.25 xG created 1.57 xGA

D 0.95 created, 1.55 conceded against Real Sociedad
W 1.96 created, 2.31 conceded against Osasuna
W 2.00 created, 1.20 conceded against Levante UD
L 0.58 created, 3.31 conceded against Barcelona
W 1.37 created, 0.67 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
L 0.63 created, 0.38 conceded against Espanyol

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.