Athletic Club 0:3 Real Madrid: xG & match report · La Liga

Wednesday, 03/12/2025 at 19:00

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Match report · La Liga

Athletic Club Home 0.84 xG · 9 shots

Real Madrid Away 2.21 xG · 13 shots

03 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

7' Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid · 0.21 xG chance 0–1
42' Eduardo Camavinga Real Madrid · 0.74 xG chance 0–2
59' Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid · 0.02 xG chance 0–3

The shots behind it

Athletic Club Real Madrid

Shots: 9; 13
On target: 4; 8
Inside the box: 7; 5
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.17
Open play xG: 0.91; 2.00
Set-piece xG: 0.11; 0.19
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.04 for Athletic Club and 2.21 for Real Madrid.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 3.21 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Athletic Club
Real Madrid
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Athletic Club

1.15 xG created 1.17 xGA

D 0.25 created, 1.08 conceded against Elche
L 0.39 created, 0.93 conceded against Getafe
L 0.83 created, 1.52 conceded against Real Sociedad
W 1.70 created, 0.22 conceded against Real Oviedo
L 0.80 created, 2.00 conceded against Barcelona
W 2.95 created, 1.29 conceded against Levante UD

Real Madrid

2.57 xG created 0.90 xGA

W 1.96 created, 0.48 conceded against Getafe
W 3.63 created, 1.03 conceded against Barcelona
W 2.80 created, 0.46 conceded against Valencia
D 0.98 created, 1.20 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
D 3.49 created, 1.44 conceded against Elche
D 2.53 created, 0.79 conceded against Girona FC

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.