Real Madrid 4:0 Valencia: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 01/11/2025 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Real Madrid Home 2.80 xG · 21 shots

Valencia Away 0.46 xG · 4 shots

40 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

19' Kylian Mbappé (pen.) Real Madrid · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
31' Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid · 0.32 xG chance 2–0
44' Jude Bellingham Real Madrid · 0.04 xG chance 3–0
82' Álvaro Carreras Real Madrid · 0.02 xG chance 4–0

The shots behind it

Real Madrid Valencia

Shots: 21; 4
On target: 11; 1
Inside the box: 12; 3
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.11
Open play xG: 1.06; 0.45
Set-piece xG: 0.34; 0.00
Penalties: 2; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.42 for Real Madrid and 0.46 for Valencia.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 3.49 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Real Madrid
Valencia
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Real Madrid

2.48 xG created 1.24 xGA

W 1.18 created, 0.96 conceded against Espanyol
W 3.94 created, 1.60 conceded against Levante UD
L 0.66 created, 2.34 conceded against Atlético Madrid
W 3.52 created, 1.00 conceded against Villarreal
W 1.96 created, 0.48 conceded against Getafe
W 3.63 created, 1.03 conceded against Barcelona

Valencia

1.10 xG created 1.28 xGA

W 1.88 created, 0.49 conceded against Athletic Club
D 0.74 created, 2.50 conceded against Espanyol
L 1.51 created, 0.77 conceded against Real Oviedo
L 1.21 created, 1.02 conceded against Girona FC
D 0.45 created, 0.74 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
L 0.80 created, 2.18 conceded against Villarreal

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.