Valencia 0:2 Villarreal: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 25/10/2025 at 21:00

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Match report · La Liga

Valencia Home 0.80 xG · 15 shots

Villarreal Away 2.18 xG · 12 shots

02 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

45' Gerard Moreno (pen.) Villarreal · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
57' Santi Comesaña Villarreal · 0.49 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Valencia Villarreal

Shots: 15; 12
On target: 3; 5
Inside the box: 7; 11
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.18
Open play xG: 0.62; 1.13
Set-piece xG: 0.17; 0.24
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.80 for Valencia and 1.43 for Villarreal.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 2.98 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Valencia
Villarreal
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Valencia

1.00 xG created 1.48 xGA

L 0.18 created, 3.35 conceded against Barcelona
W 1.88 created, 0.49 conceded against Athletic Club
D 0.74 created, 2.50 conceded against Espanyol
L 1.51 created, 0.77 conceded against Real Oviedo
L 1.21 created, 1.02 conceded against Girona FC
D 0.45 created, 0.74 conceded against Deportivo Alavés

Villarreal

1.39 xG created 1.68 xGA

L 0.97 created, 1.17 conceded against Atlético Madrid
W 2.55 created, 1.80 conceded against Osasuna
W 1.95 created, 0.97 conceded against Sevilla
W 1.22 created, 1.44 conceded against Athletic Club
L 1.00 created, 3.52 conceded against Real Madrid
D 0.66 created, 1.18 conceded against Real Betis

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.