Deportivo Alavés 1:2 Real Madrid: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 14/12/2025 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Deportivo Alavés Home 1.36 xG · 6 shots

Real Madrid Away 1.83 xG · 13 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

24' Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid · 0.12 xG chance 0–1
68' Carlos Vicente Deportivo Alavés · 0.34 xG chance 1–1
76' Rodrygo Real Madrid · 0.54 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Deportivo Alavés Real Madrid

Shots: 6; 13
On target: 2; 6
Inside the box: 4; 10
xG per shot: 0.23; 0.14
Open play xG: 0.77; 1.74
Set-piece xG: 0.58; 0.14
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.33 for Deportivo Alavés and 1.89 for Real Madrid.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

19 shots · 3.23 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Deportivo Alavés
Real Madrid
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Deportivo Alavés

1.29 xG created 1.33 xGA

L 0.84 created, 1.18 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
W 1.43 created, 1.18 conceded against Espanyol
L 1.84 created, 0.85 conceded against Girona FC
L 0.67 created, 1.37 conceded against Celta Vigo
L 1.59 created, 2.24 conceded against Barcelona
W 1.39 created, 1.17 conceded against Real Sociedad

Real Madrid

2.38 xG created 1.05 xGA

W 2.80 created, 0.46 conceded against Valencia
D 0.98 created, 1.20 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
D 3.49 created, 1.44 conceded against Elche
D 2.53 created, 0.79 conceded against Girona FC
W 2.21 created, 0.84 conceded against Athletic Club
L 2.29 created, 1.55 conceded against Celta Vigo

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.